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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Chaves
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Portimonense
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vizela
Arouca
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 15
Jan 7, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Estádio Municipal de Arouca
Estoril

Arouca
2 - 0
Estoril

Dabbagh (28', 64')
Ruiz (74'), Quaresma (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Lea Siliki (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Arouca and Estoril Praia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Arouca

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Porto 5-1 Arouca
Wednesday, December 28 at 9.15pm in Primeira Liga

Estoril Praia

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Estoril 0-1 Famalicao
Thursday, December 15 at 8pm in Taca da Liga

We said: Arouca 1-0 Estoril Praia

 Despite the heavy defeat last week to Porto, we are siding with the hosts in this one. Arouca have won three of their last five games across all competitions, so they come into this match in better form than their opponents. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 36.63%. A win for Arouca had a probability of 35.35% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.82%) and 0-2 (6.73%). The likeliest Arouca win was 1-0 (11.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Arouca would win this match.

Result
AroucaDrawEstoril Praia
35.35% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04) 28.02% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08) 36.63% (0.119 0.12)
Both teams to score 47.74% (0.236 0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.68% (0.293 0.29)58.32% (-0.293 -0.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.06% (0.23 0.23)78.94% (-0.23 -0.23)
Arouca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.69% (0.123 0.12)31.31% (-0.124 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.33% (0.143 0.14)67.67% (-0.143 -0.14)
Estoril Praia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.5% (0.221 0.22)30.5% (-0.22 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.28% (0.26 0.26)66.72% (-0.261 -0.26)
Score Analysis
    Arouca 35.34%
    Estoril Praia 36.62%
    Draw 28.01%
AroucaDrawEstoril Praia
1-0 @ 11.08% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-1 @ 7.65% (0.013 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.44% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-1 @ 2.96% (0.015 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.49% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 1.76% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 35.34%
1-1 @ 13.16% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 9.55% (-0.107 -0.11)
2-2 @ 4.54% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 28.01%
0-1 @ 11.33% (-0.06 -0.06)
1-2 @ 7.82% (0.034 0.03)
0-2 @ 6.73% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.1% (0.033 0.03)
0-3 @ 2.67% (0.019 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.8% (0.025 0.02)
1-4 @ 0.92% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 36.62%

How you voted: Arouca vs Estoril

Arouca
80.0%
Draw
20.0%
Estoril Praia
0.0%
5
Head to Head
Jan 27, 2022 8.15pm
Estoril
1-2
Arouca
Ba (6' og.)
Joaozinho (26'), Franco (67'), Geraldes (90+6')
Silva (89'), Kouassi (90+7')
Ba (54'), Moreira (75')
Aug 7, 2021 12.45pm
Arouca
0-2
Estoril

Andres Caballero (88')
Filipe Russo Franco (4'), Meshino (90+6')
Gamboa (38'), Alexis Leite Figueira (57'), Geraldes (89')
May 21, 2017 6pm
Estoril
4-2
Arouca
Claro (6'), Carlinhos (19'), Gomes (30'), Tocantins (76')
Dankler (39'), Yarchuk (79'), Basso (91')
Goiano (1', 31')
Costa (5'), Mateus (51'), Gonzalez (82'), Adilson (84')
Basto (41')
Jan 13, 2017 8.30pm
Arouca
2-1
Estoril
Adilson (80'), Kuka (93')
Kuka (93')
Othavio Basso (88')
May 9, 2016 8pm
Estoril
1-1
Arouca
Diakhite (85')
Esiti (54'), Taira (92')
Luis (39' og.)
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CSporting Lisbon34293296296790
2Benfica34255477284980
3Porto34226663273672
4Braga34215871502168
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes34196952381463
6MoreirenseMoreirense34167113635155
7AroucaArouca34137145450446
8FamalicaoFamalicao341012123741-442
9Casa Pia34108163850-1238
10SC FarenseFarense34107174651-537
11Rio AveRio Ave3461993843-537
12Gil Vicente3499164252-1036
13Estoril PraiaEstoril3496194958-933
14Estrela Amadora34712153353-2033
15BoavistaBoavista34711163962-2332
16PortimonensePortimonense3488183972-3332
RVizela34511183666-3026
RChavesChaves3458213172-4123
> Primeira Liga Full Table


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