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Premier League | Gameweek 27
Mar 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
Elland Road
Brighton logo

Leeds
2 - 2
Brighton

Bamford (40'), Harrison (78')
Firpo (90')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Mac Allister (33'), March (61')
Caicedo (83')

The Match

Match Report

Leeds United twice come from behind to draw 2-2 with Brighton & Hove Albion in the Premier League on Saturday afternoon.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Leeds United and Brighton & Hove Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chelsea 1-0 Leeds
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 51.21%. A win for Leeds United had a probability of 25.8% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.64%) and 0-2 (7.85%). The likeliest Leeds United win was 2-1 (6.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
Leeds UnitedDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
25.8% (0.417 0.42) 22.98% (0.173 0.17) 51.21% (-0.59 -0.59)
Both teams to score 59.26% (-0.16699999999999 -0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.73% (-0.41200000000001 -0.41)41.26% (0.411 0.41)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.34% (-0.419 -0.42)63.66% (0.418 0.42)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.73% (0.101 0.1)29.26% (-0.103 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.77% (0.125 0.13)65.22% (-0.127 -0.13)
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.77% (-0.35600000000001 -0.36)16.22% (0.355 0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.27% (-0.65199999999999 -0.65)45.73% (0.651 0.65)
Score Analysis
    Leeds United 25.8%
    Brighton & Hove Albion 51.22%
    Draw 22.98%
Leeds UnitedDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
2-1 @ 6.52% (0.079 0.08)
1-0 @ 5.83% (0.124 0.12)
2-0 @ 3.58% (0.086 0.09)
3-1 @ 2.67% (0.04 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.43% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.47% (0.039 0.04)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 25.8%
1-1 @ 10.61% (0.1 0.1)
2-2 @ 5.93% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 4.75% (0.088 0.09)
3-3 @ 1.47% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 22.98%
1-2 @ 9.65% (-0.026000000000002 -0.03)
0-1 @ 8.64% (0.057 0.06)
0-2 @ 7.85% (-0.044 -0.04)
1-3 @ 5.85% (-0.087 -0.09)
0-3 @ 4.76% (-0.085 -0.09)
2-3 @ 3.59% (-0.043 -0.04)
1-4 @ 2.66% (-0.073 -0.07)
0-4 @ 2.16% (-0.066 -0.07)
2-4 @ 1.63% (-0.04 -0.04)
1-5 @ 0.97% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 51.22%

How you voted: Leeds vs Brighton

Leeds United
17.2%
Draw
11.5%
Brighton & Hove Albion
71.3%
157
Head to Head
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
Brighton
1-0
Leeds
Gross (66')
Webster (81'), Mac Allister (87')

Struijk (8'), Roca (34'), Aaronson (37'), Marsch (76')
May 15, 2022 2pm
Leeds
1-1
Brighton
Struijk (90+2')
Firpo (71'), Rodrigo (81'), Cooper (84')
Welbeck (21')
Caicedo (65'), Lamptey (90+2')
Nov 27, 2021 5.30pm
May 1, 2021 3pm
Brighton
2-0
Leeds
Gross (14' pen.), Welbeck (79')
Gross (76')

Ayling (88')
Jan 16, 2021 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CManchester CityMan City38287396346291
2Arsenal38285591296289
3Liverpool382410486414582
4Aston Villa382081076611568
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs382061274611366
6Chelsea381891177631463
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle381861485622360
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd38186145758-160
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham381410146074-1452
10Crystal Palace381310155758-149
11Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton381212145562-748
12Bournemouth38139165467-1348
13Fulham38138175561-647
14Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38137185065-1546
15Everton38139164051-1140
16Brentford38109195665-939
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3899204967-1832
RLuton TownLuton3868245285-3326
RBurnley3859244178-3724
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd38372835104-6916


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