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Premier League | Gameweek 29
Mar 16, 2024 at 3pm UK
Turf Moor
Brentford logo

Burnley
2 - 1
Brentford

Bruun Larsen (10' pen.), Datro Fofana (62')
Amdouni (81'), Taylor (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Ajer (83')
Janelt (68'), Ajer (84'), Baptiste (90+13'), Toney (90+10')
Reguilon (8')

The Match

Match Report

Goals from Jacob Bruun Larsen and David Datro Fofana help Burnley to a 2-1 victory over Brentford at Turf Moor.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Burnley and Brentford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: West Ham 2-2 Burnley
Sunday, March 10 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Arsenal 2-1 Brentford
Saturday, March 9 at 5.30pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 42.23%. A win for Brentford had a probability of 33.79% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.71%) and 2-0 (6.24%). The likeliest Brentford win was 1-2 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Burnley in this match.

Result
BurnleyDrawBrentford
42.23% (0.356 0.36) 23.98% (0.13 0.13) 33.79% (-0.486 -0.49)
Both teams to score 60.9% (-0.629 -0.63)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.66% (-0.76 -0.76)41.34% (0.76 0.76)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.26% (-0.774 -0.77)63.73% (0.774 0.77)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.18% (-0.16 -0.16)19.81% (0.161 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.11% (-0.25700000000001 -0.26)51.89% (0.258 0.26)
Brentford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.95% (-0.631 -0.63)24.04% (0.63 0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.69% (-0.907 -0.91)58.31% (0.90799999999999 0.91)
Score Analysis
    Burnley 42.23%
    Brentford 33.79%
    Draw 23.98%
BurnleyDrawBrentford
2-1 @ 8.9% (0.055000000000001 0.06)
1-0 @ 7.71% (0.225 0.23)
2-0 @ 6.24% (0.152 0.15)
3-1 @ 4.8% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.42% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-0 @ 3.37% (0.066 0.07)
4-1 @ 1.94% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.39% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.36% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 42.23%
1-1 @ 10.99% (0.13 0.13)
2-2 @ 6.34% (-0.078 -0.08)
0-0 @ 4.76% (0.162 0.16)
3-3 @ 1.63% (-0.059 -0.06)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 23.98%
1-2 @ 7.83% (-0.058 -0.06)
0-1 @ 6.79% (0.109 0.11)
0-2 @ 4.84% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.72% (-0.097 -0.1)
2-3 @ 3.01% (-0.093 -0.09)
0-3 @ 2.3% (-0.048 -0.05)
1-4 @ 1.33% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-4 @ 1.07% (-0.054 -0.05)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 33.79%

How you voted: Burnley vs Brentford

Burnley
20.9%
Draw
21.8%
Brentford
57.3%
234
Head to Head
Oct 21, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 9
Brentford
3-0
Burnley
Wissa (25'), Mbeumo (62'), Ghoddos (87')
Ajer (46'), Onyeka (53'), Frank (61'), Jensen (69'), Janelt (85'), Ghoddos (90+3')

Berge (32'), Roberts (42'), Cullen (45+2')
Roberts (78')
Mar 12, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 29
Brentford
2-0
Burnley
Toney (85', 90+4' pen.)
Toney (86')

Tarkowski (89')
Collins (90+2')
Oct 30, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 10
Burnley
3-1
Brentford
Wood (4'), Lowton (32'), Cornet (36')
McNeil (83')
Ghoddos (79')
Ghoddos (72')
Jan 15, 2016 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal36265588286083
2Manchester CityMan City35257387335482
3Liverpool36239481384378
4Aston Villa36207973532067
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs351861169581160
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle351751378562256
7Chelsea351591170591154
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd35166135255-354
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham361310135670-1449
10Bournemouth36139145263-1148
11Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton351211125357-447
12Wolverhampton WanderersWolves36137164960-1146
13Fulham36128165155-444
14Crystal Palace361110154957-843
15Everton36129153849-1137
16Brentford3699185260-836
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3689194563-1829
18Luton TownLuton3668224978-2926
19Burnley3659223974-3524
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd36372635100-6516


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