MX23RW : Wednesday, June 5 07:11:15| >> :600:6271937:6271937:
UEFA Nations League header

UEFA Nations League
Lithuania national football team
Nations League | Relegation Playoff | 1st Leg
Mar 20, 2024 at 11pm UK
LFF Stadium, Vilnius
Belarus national football team

Lithuania
vs.
Belarus

Coverage of the Nations League Relegation Playoff clash between Lithuania and Belarus.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lithuania

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Gibraltar 0-1 Lithuania
Thursday, March 21 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Next Game: Belarus vs. Lithuania
Saturday, March 23 at 11pm in Nations League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Belarus

All competitions
Last Game: Belarus 0-2 Montenegro
Thursday, March 21 at 5pm in International Friendlies
Next Game: Belarus vs. Lithuania
Saturday, March 23 at 11pm in Nations League
Current Group I Standings P GD PTS
1Romania101122
2Switzerland101117
3Israel10015
4Belarus10-512
5Kosovo10011
6Andorra10-172

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Belarus win with a probability of 52.48%. A draw has a probability of 26% and a win for Lithuania has a probability of 21.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Belarus win is 0-1 with a probability of 13.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (10.57%) and 1-2 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.12%), while for a Lithuania win it is 1-0 (7.99%).

Result
LithuaniaDrawBelarus
21.57% (-0.297 -0.3) 25.95% (-0.031000000000002 -0.03) 52.48% (0.326 0.33)
Both teams to score 45.36% (-0.277 -0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.7% (-0.174 -0.17)57.29% (0.171 0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.87% (-0.139 -0.14)78.13% (0.137 0.14)
Lithuania Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.1% (-0.405 -0.41)41.89% (0.403 0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.65% (-0.352 -0.35)78.34% (0.351 0.35)
Belarus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.07% (0.066000000000003 0.07)21.92% (-0.067 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.8% (0.102 0.1)55.19% (-0.104 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Lithuania 21.57%
    Belarus 52.46%
    Draw 25.95%
LithuaniaDrawBelarus
1-0 @ 7.99% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-1 @ 5.28% (-0.072 -0.07)
2-0 @ 3.48% (-0.054 -0.05)
3-1 @ 1.53% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.16% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-0 @ 1.01% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 1.13%
Total : 21.57%
1-1 @ 12.12% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 9.18% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
2-2 @ 4% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 25.95%
0-1 @ 13.93% (0.12 0.12)
0-2 @ 10.57% (0.11 0.11)
1-2 @ 9.2% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-3 @ 5.35% (0.068 0.07)
1-3 @ 4.66% (0.008 0.01)
0-4 @ 2.03% (0.029 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.03% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.77% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 52.46%

How you voted: Lithuania vs Belarus

Lithuania
16.7%
Draw
16.7%
Belarus
66.7%
6
Head to Head
Nov 16, 2021 12am
Friendlies 2
Belarus
0-0
Lithuania
Nov 15, 2020 5pm
League C
Belarus
2-0
Lithuania
Yablonski (5'), Ebong (20')
Yuzepchukh (24')

Lasickas (30'), Girdvainis (33')
Oct 11, 2020 5pm
League C
Lithuania
2-2
Belarus
Novikovas (7'), Laukzemis (75')
Kazlauskas (57'), Vaitkunas (59'), Dapkus (88'), Vorobjovas (90')
Lisakovich (59' pen.), Sachivko (66')
Gromyko (20'), Ebong (38')
rhs 2.0
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