Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oldham Athletic win with a probability of 56.41%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Eastleigh had a probability of 20.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oldham Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.89%) and 0-2 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.7%), while for a Eastleigh win it was 1-0 (5.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oldham Athletic would win this match.
Result | ||
Eastleigh | Draw | Oldham Athletic |
20.94% ( 1.63) | 22.65% ( 0.98) | 56.41% ( -2.6) |
Both teams to score 54.33% ( -0.59) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.03% ( -2.07) | 44.97% ( 2.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.67% ( -2.02) | 67.33% ( 2.02) |
Eastleigh Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.48% ( 0.48) | 35.52% ( -0.47) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.72% ( 0.49) | 72.28% ( -0.48) |
Oldham Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.25% ( -1.54) | 15.75% ( 1.55) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.14% ( -2.94) | 44.86% ( 2.94) |
Score Analysis |
Eastleigh | Draw | Oldham Athletic |
1-0 @ 5.79% ( 0.57) 2-1 @ 5.54% ( 0.33) 2-0 @ 3% ( 0.33) 3-1 @ 1.91% ( 0.14) 3-2 @ 1.77% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 1.03% ( 0.13) Other @ 1.91% Total : 20.95% | 1-1 @ 10.7% ( 0.51) 0-0 @ 5.59% ( 0.48) 2-2 @ 5.12% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.64% | 0-1 @ 10.33% ( 0.36) 1-2 @ 9.89% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 9.56% ( -0.18) 1-3 @ 6.1% ( -0.38) 0-3 @ 5.89% ( -0.45) 2-3 @ 3.16% ( -0.15) 1-4 @ 2.82% ( -0.34) 0-4 @ 2.72% ( -0.37) 2-4 @ 1.46% ( -0.16) 1-5 @ 1.04% ( -0.19) 0-5 @ 1.01% ( -0.2) Other @ 2.45% Total : 56.4% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Chesterfield | 46 | 31 | 5 | 10 | 106 | 65 | 41 | 98 |
2 | Barnet | 46 | 26 | 8 | 12 | 91 | 60 | 31 | 86 |
3 | Bromley | 46 | 22 | 15 | 9 | 73 | 49 | 24 | 81 |
4 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 84 | 59 | 25 | 77 |
5 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 71 | 62 | 9 | 76 |
6 | Gateshead | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 88 | 64 | 24 | 75 |
7 | Halifax TownHalifax | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 58 | 50 | 8 | 71 |
8 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 74 | 83 | -9 | 69 |
9 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 70 | 45 | 25 | 65 |
10 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 46 | 15 | 18 | 13 | 63 | 60 | 3 | 63 |
11 | Rochdale | 46 | 16 | 14 | 16 | 69 | 64 | 5 | 62 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 70 | 82 | -12 | 60 |
13 | Eastleigh | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 73 | 87 | -14 | 59 |
14 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 46 | 15 | 13 | 18 | 60 | 67 | -7 | 58 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 69 | 63 | 6 | 56 |
16 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 60 | 72 | -12 | 56 |
17 | Woking | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 55 |
18 | Fylde | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 74 | 82 | -8 | 55 |
19 | Ebbsfleet | 46 | 14 | 12 | 20 | 59 | 74 | -15 | 54 |
20 | York City | 46 | 12 | 17 | 17 | 55 | 69 | -14 | 53 |
21 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 59 | 73 | -14 | 52 |
22 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 46 | 11 | 13 | 22 | 40 | 59 | -19 | 46 |
23 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 46 | 12 | 9 | 25 | 54 | 85 | -31 | 45 |
24 | Oxford CityOxford City | 46 | 8 | 9 | 29 | 54 | 94 | -40 | 33 |
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