Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 44.18%. A win for Dorking Wanderers had a probability of 32.4% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.35%) and 0-2 (6.29%). The likeliest Dorking Wanderers win was 2-1 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hartlepool United would win this match.
Result | ||
Dorking Wanderers | Draw | Hartlepool United |
32.4% ( 0.58) | 23.42% ( 0.31) | 44.18% ( -0.89) |
Both teams to score 62.45% ( -0.88) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.9% ( -1.27) | 39.1% ( 1.26) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.57% ( -1.34) | 61.42% ( 1.34) |
Dorking Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.22% ( -0.28) | 23.78% ( 0.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.07% ( -0.4) | 57.93% ( 0.39) |
Hartlepool United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.93% ( -0.86) | 18.07% ( 0.86) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.02% ( -1.49) | 48.98% ( 1.48) |
Score Analysis |
Dorking Wanderers | Draw | Hartlepool United |
2-1 @ 7.58% ( 0.12) 1-0 @ 6.17% ( 0.31) 2-0 @ 4.43% ( 0.19) 3-1 @ 3.63% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.11% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 2.12% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 1.3% 4-2 @ 1.12% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.93% Total : 32.4% | 1-1 @ 10.55% ( 0.25) 2-2 @ 6.49% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 4.3% ( 0.25) 3-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.41% | 1-2 @ 9.03% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 7.35% ( 0.23) 0-2 @ 6.29% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 5.15% ( -0.17) 2-3 @ 3.7% ( -0.15) 0-3 @ 3.59% ( -0.09) 1-4 @ 2.2% ( -0.14) 2-4 @ 1.58% ( -0.11) 0-4 @ 1.53% ( -0.08) Other @ 3.75% Total : 44.18% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Chesterfield | 46 | 31 | 5 | 10 | 106 | 65 | 41 | 98 |
2 | Barnet | 46 | 26 | 8 | 12 | 91 | 60 | 31 | 86 |
3 | Bromley | 46 | 22 | 15 | 9 | 73 | 49 | 24 | 81 |
4 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 84 | 59 | 25 | 77 |
5 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 71 | 62 | 9 | 76 |
6 | Gateshead | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 88 | 64 | 24 | 75 |
7 | Halifax TownHalifax | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 58 | 50 | 8 | 71 |
8 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 74 | 83 | -9 | 69 |
9 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 70 | 45 | 25 | 65 |
10 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 46 | 15 | 18 | 13 | 63 | 60 | 3 | 63 |
11 | Rochdale | 46 | 16 | 14 | 16 | 69 | 64 | 5 | 62 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 70 | 82 | -12 | 60 |
13 | Eastleigh | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 73 | 87 | -14 | 59 |
14 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 46 | 15 | 13 | 18 | 60 | 67 | -7 | 58 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 69 | 63 | 6 | 56 |
16 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 60 | 72 | -12 | 56 |
17 | Woking | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 55 |
18 | Fylde | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 74 | 82 | -8 | 55 |
19 | Ebbsfleet | 46 | 14 | 12 | 20 | 59 | 74 | -15 | 54 |
20 | York City | 46 | 12 | 17 | 17 | 55 | 69 | -14 | 53 |
21 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 59 | 73 | -14 | 52 |
22 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 46 | 11 | 13 | 22 | 40 | 59 | -19 | 46 |
23 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 46 | 12 | 9 | 25 | 54 | 85 | -31 | 45 |
24 | Oxford CityOxford City | 46 | 8 | 9 | 29 | 54 | 94 | -40 | 33 |
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