Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dagenham & Redbridge win with a probability of 51.59%. A win for Oxford City had a probability of 24.25% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dagenham & Redbridge win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.66%) and 2-0 (8.97%). The likeliest Oxford City win was 0-1 (6.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 7-1 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dagenham & Redbridge would win this match.
Result | ||
Dagenham & Redbridge | Draw | Oxford City |
51.59% ( -1.15) | 24.16% ( 0.39) | 24.25% ( 0.75) |
Both teams to score 53.69% ( -0.41) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.12% ( -0.95) | 47.88% ( 0.95) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.94% ( -0.88) | 70.06% ( 0.88) |
Dagenham & Redbridge Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.45% ( -0.79) | 18.55% ( 0.79) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.2% ( -1.36) | 49.8% ( 1.36) |
Oxford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.92% ( 0.14) | 34.08% ( -0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.23% ( 0.15) | 70.77% ( -0.15) |
Score Analysis |
Dagenham & Redbridge | Draw | Oxford City |
1-0 @ 10.65% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 9.66% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 8.97% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 5.42% ( -0.19) 3-0 @ 5.04% ( -0.19) 3-2 @ 2.92% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 2.28% ( -0.14) 4-0 @ 2.12% ( -0.14) 4-2 @ 1.23% ( -0.07) Other @ 3.29% Total : 51.59% | 1-1 @ 11.46% ( 0.2) 0-0 @ 6.32% ( 0.25) 2-2 @ 5.2% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.16% | 0-1 @ 6.81% ( 0.29) 1-2 @ 6.17% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 3.66% ( 0.17) 1-3 @ 2.21% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 1.87% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.22% Total : 24.25% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Chesterfield | 46 | 31 | 5 | 10 | 106 | 65 | 41 | 98 |
2 | Barnet | 46 | 26 | 8 | 12 | 91 | 60 | 31 | 86 |
3 | Bromley | 46 | 22 | 15 | 9 | 73 | 49 | 24 | 81 |
4 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 84 | 59 | 25 | 77 |
5 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 71 | 62 | 9 | 76 |
6 | Gateshead | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 88 | 64 | 24 | 75 |
7 | Halifax TownHalifax | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 58 | 50 | 8 | 71 |
8 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 74 | 83 | -9 | 69 |
9 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 70 | 45 | 25 | 65 |
10 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 46 | 15 | 18 | 13 | 63 | 60 | 3 | 63 |
11 | Rochdale | 46 | 16 | 14 | 16 | 69 | 64 | 5 | 62 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 70 | 82 | -12 | 60 |
13 | Eastleigh | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 73 | 87 | -14 | 59 |
14 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 46 | 15 | 13 | 18 | 60 | 67 | -7 | 58 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 69 | 63 | 6 | 56 |
16 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 60 | 72 | -12 | 56 |
17 | Woking | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 55 |
18 | Fylde | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 74 | 82 | -8 | 55 |
19 | Ebbsfleet | 46 | 14 | 12 | 20 | 59 | 74 | -15 | 54 |
20 | York City | 46 | 12 | 17 | 17 | 55 | 69 | -14 | 53 |
21 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 59 | 73 | -14 | 52 |
22 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 46 | 11 | 13 | 22 | 40 | 59 | -19 | 46 |
23 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 46 | 12 | 9 | 25 | 54 | 85 | -31 | 45 |
24 | Oxford CityOxford City | 46 | 8 | 9 | 29 | 54 | 94 | -40 | 33 |
> National League Full Table |