National League North | Gameweek 4
Aug 20, 2022 at 3pm UK
The Impact Arena
Alfreton4 - 0Southport
Coverage of the National League North clash between Alfreton Town and Southport.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Spennymoor 0-0 Alfreton
Tuesday, August 16 at 7.45pm in National League North
Tuesday, August 16 at 7.45pm in National League North
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
16 | Spennymoor Town | 3 | 0 | 3 |
17 | Alfreton Town | 3 | 0 | 3 |
18 | Brackley Town | 3 | -1 | 3 |
Last Game: Southport 1-0 Darlington
Tuesday, August 16 at 7.45pm in National League North
Tuesday, August 16 at 7.45pm in National League North
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
3 | Gloucester City | 3 | 2 | 6 |
4 | Southport | 3 | 0 | 6 |
5 | Fylde | 3 | 0 | 6 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 42.74%. A win for Southport had a probability of 31.8% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Southport win was 0-1 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alfreton Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Alfreton Town | Draw | Southport |
42.74% ( 0.96) | 25.46% ( 0.07) | 31.8% ( -1.03) |
Both teams to score 55.04% ( -0.6) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.31% ( -0.62) | 48.69% ( 0.62) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.2% ( -0.56) | 70.8% ( 0.56) |
Alfreton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.31% ( 0.2) | 22.69% ( -0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.66% ( 0.29) | 56.34% ( -0.29) |
Southport Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.19% ( -0.97) | 28.81% ( 0.97) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.33% ( -1.22) | 64.67% ( 1.22) |
Score Analysis |
Alfreton Town 42.74%
Southport 31.8%
Draw 25.45%
Alfreton Town | Draw | Southport |
1-0 @ 9.7% ( 0.3) 2-1 @ 8.95% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 7.19% ( 0.26) 3-1 @ 4.43% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 3.56% ( 0.15) 3-2 @ 2.75% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.64% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.32% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 1.02% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.19% Total : 42.74% | 1-1 @ 12.06% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.54% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 5.57% ( -0.1) 3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.45% | 0-1 @ 8.13% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.51% ( -0.17) 0-2 @ 5.06% ( -0.15) 1-3 @ 3.11% ( -0.16) 2-3 @ 2.31% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.12) 1-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.61% Total : 31.8% |
Head to Head
Mar 26, 2022 3pm
Nov 23, 2021 7.45pm
Southport
2-0
Alfreton
Woods (23', 55')
Apr 5, 2021 3pm
Dec 5, 2020 3pm
Apr 10, 2020 3pm
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Tamworth | 46 | 29 | 9 | 8 | 74 | 29 | 45 | 96 |
2 | Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe | 46 | 26 | 10 | 10 | 84 | 38 | 46 | 88 |
3 | Brackley Town | 46 | 25 | 10 | 11 | 65 | 37 | 28 | 85 |
4 | Chorley | 46 | 25 | 8 | 13 | 81 | 50 | 31 | 83 |
5 | Alfreton TownAlfreton | 46 | 23 | 11 | 12 | 76 | 50 | 26 | 80 |
6 | Boston UnitedBoston | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 68 | 46 | 22 | 75 |
7 | Curzon AshtonCurzon Ashton | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 62 | 49 | 13 | 75 |
8 | South Shields | 46 | 22 | 8 | 16 | 79 | 53 | 26 | 74 |
9 | Spennymoor TownSpennymoor | 46 | 22 | 8 | 16 | 74 | 62 | 12 | 74 |
10 | Chester FCChester | 46 | 18 | 15 | 13 | 58 | 37 | 21 | 69 |
11 | Hereford UnitedHereford | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 62 | 66 | -4 | 69 |
12 | Warrington Town | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 64 | 60 | 4 | 64 |
13 | Scarborough AthleticScarborough Ath | 46 | 18 | 10 | 18 | 53 | 55 | -2 | 64 |
14 | Buxton | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 70 | 63 | 7 | 62 |
15 | Peterborough SportsP'boro Sports | 46 | 16 | 10 | 20 | 55 | 65 | -10 | 58 |
16 | Darlington | 46 | 16 | 8 | 22 | 52 | 72 | -20 | 56 |
17 | SouthportSouthport | 46 | 16 | 8 | 22 | 54 | 75 | -21 | 56 |
18 | King's Lynn TownKing's Lynn | 46 | 13 | 16 | 17 | 54 | 66 | -12 | 55 |
19 | Rushall Olympic | 46 | 15 | 9 | 22 | 61 | 73 | -12 | 54 |
20 | Farsley CelticFarsley Celtic | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 40 | 59 | -19 | 53 |
21 | Blyth Spartans | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 66 | 82 | -16 | 50 |
22 | Banbury UnitedBanbury | 46 | 10 | 8 | 28 | 38 | 86 | -48 | 38 |
23 | Gloucester CityGloucester City | 46 | 9 | 9 | 28 | 49 | 89 | -40 | 36 |
24 | Bishop's StortfordBishop's Stortford | 46 | 6 | 3 | 37 | 35 | 112 | -77 | 21 |
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