Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
8 | Houston Dynamo | 26 | -11 | 26 |
9 | Sporting Kansas City | 27 | -15 | 26 |
10 | DC United | 26 | -28 | 22 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
7 | Colorado Rapids | 26 | 0 | 32 |
8 | San Jose Earthquakes | 26 | -11 | 27 |
9 | Chivas USA | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 52.96%. A win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 24.31% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.88%) and 2-0 (8.22%). The likeliest San Jose Earthquakes win was 1-2 (6.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Kansas City would win this match.
Result | ||
Sporting Kansas City | Draw | San Jose Earthquakes |
52.96% ( -0.12) | 22.72% ( 0.06) | 24.31% ( 0.06) |
Both teams to score 58.55% ( -0.14) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.52% ( -0.21) | 41.48% ( 0.21) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.12% ( -0.22) | 63.88% ( 0.22) |
Sporting Kansas City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.31% ( -0.11) | 15.69% ( 0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.25% ( -0.21) | 44.75% ( 0.21) |
San Jose Earthquakes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.44% ( -0.07) | 30.56% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.21% ( -0.08) | 66.78% ( 0.08) |
Score Analysis |
Sporting Kansas City | Draw | San Jose Earthquakes |
2-1 @ 9.75% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.88% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 8.22% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.02% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 5.08% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.57% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.79% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.35% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.65% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.03% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.63% Total : 52.96% | 1-1 @ 10.52% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.78% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.79% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.21% Total : 22.72% | 1-2 @ 6.24% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.68% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 3.37% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.47% 2-3 @ 2.28% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.93% Total : 24.31% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 39 | 24 | 15 | 34 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 16 | 7 | 33 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 28 | 22 | 6 | 26 |
4 | New York City FCNY City | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 26 |
5 | Columbus Crew | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 24 |
6 | Toronto | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 23 |
7 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 22 |
8 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 19 |
9 | Nashville SCNashville | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 19 |
10 | DC United | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 18 |
11 | Orlando City | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 17 |
12 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 16 |
13 | CF MontrealMontreal | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 16 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 28 | -13 | 12 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 13 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 26 | -17 | 7 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 31 | 18 | 13 | 30 |
2 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 28 |
3 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
4 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 25 |
5 | Austin FCAustin | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 23 |
6 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 22 |
7 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 22 |
8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 21 |
9 | Portland TimbersPortland | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 19 |
10 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 18 |
11 | St Louis City | 14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 16 |
12 | Dallas | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 13 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 11 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 11 |