Salt Lake

3 - 1

Earthquakes

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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Salt Lake win with a probability of 57.95%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 19.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Salt Lake win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.92%) and 2-0 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.53%), while for a San Jose Earthquakes win it was 0-1 (5.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Salt Lake would win this match.