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Major League Soccer
May 1, 2022 at 6pm UK
Yankee Stadium
San Jose Earthquakes

NY City
3 - 0
Earthquakes

Parks (74'), Pereira (78'), Gloster (88')
Callens (77'), Castellanos (80'), Rodriguez (82')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between New York City FC and San Jose Earthquakes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Minnesota Utd 0-1 NY City
Sunday, May 29 at 1am in Major League Soccer
Next Game: NY City vs. Colorado
Sunday, June 19 at 10pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Los Angeles 3-2 Earthquakes
Saturday, May 28 at 11pm in Major League Soccer
Next Game: Nashville vs. Earthquakes
Sunday, June 12 at 1am in Major League Soccer

We said: New York City FC 3-2 San Jose Earthquakes

A week ago, these two teams showed a ton of potency in the attacking third, along with plenty of vulnerabilities at the back. They each have some lethal strikers who rarely miss in front of goal, but we are giving the edge to New York, who have a little more balance and structure to their lineup, whereas the Quakes are still searching for the right formula to keep winning consistently. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 65.77%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 16.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.4%) and 3-1 (7.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.86%), while for a San Jose Earthquakes win it was 1-2 (4.44%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that New York City FC would win this match.

Result
New York City FCDrawSan Jose Earthquakes
65.77%18.05%16.18%
Both teams to score 61.7%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.84%31.16%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.42%52.58%
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.1%8.89%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.58%30.42%
San Jose Earthquakes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.73%32.27%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.23%68.77%
Score Analysis
    New York City FC 65.77%
    San Jose Earthquakes 16.18%
    Draw 18.05%
New York City FCDrawSan Jose Earthquakes
2-1 @ 9.51%
2-0 @ 8.4%
3-1 @ 7.67%
1-0 @ 6.95%
3-0 @ 6.78%
4-1 @ 4.64%
3-2 @ 4.34%
4-0 @ 4.1%
4-2 @ 2.62%
5-1 @ 2.25%
5-0 @ 1.99%
5-2 @ 1.27%
4-3 @ 0.99%
6-1 @ 0.91%
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 65.77%
1-1 @ 7.86%
2-2 @ 5.38%
0-0 @ 2.87%
3-3 @ 1.64%
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 18.05%
1-2 @ 4.44%
0-1 @ 3.25%
2-3 @ 2.03%
0-2 @ 1.84%
1-3 @ 1.68%
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 16.18%

How you voted: NY City vs Earthquakes

New York City FC
68.8%
Draw
25.0%
San Jose Earthquakes
6.3%
16
Head to Head
Sep 14, 2019 5.30pm
NY City
2-1
Earthquakes
Parks (40'), Mitrita (43')
Callens (55'), Johnson (94')
Wondolowski (20')
Salinas (47'), Eriksson (76')
Apr 1, 2018 1am
Earthquakes
1-2
NY City
Quintana (3')
Godoy (29')
Tinnerholm (49'), Moralez (60')
Ofori (41'), Callens (67'), Herrera (74'), Tinnerholm (89'), Moralez (93')
Apr 1, 2017 7pm
NY City
2-1
Earthquakes
Harrison (11'), McNamara (67')
Ring (54'), Wallace (59'), Harrison (87')
Urena (7')
Bernardez (80')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1594236201631
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati149321911830
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls146532521423
4New York City FCNY City147251816223
5Toronto147162120122
6Columbus Crew135621913621
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC146351413121
8Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia134542521417
9DC United144552024-417
10Orlando City134451520-516
11Nashville SCNashville133641720-315
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta133461716113
13CF MontrealMontreal133371731-1412
14Chicago Fire142481326-1310
15New England RevolutionNew England12219925-167

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1484227141328
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd127322114724
3Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy145722521422
4Austin FCAustin146441917222
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles136342419521
6Colorado RapidsColorado146352423121
7Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver135441915419
8Houston DynamoHouston135351213-118
9St Louis City133731920-116
10Seattle SoundersSeattle143561617-114
11Portland TimbersPortland143472629-313
12Dallas123361317-412
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas132562124-311
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes1431102233-1110


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