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Inter Miami
Major League Soccer
Oct 6, 2022 at 1am UK
New Fort Lauderdale Stadium
Orlando City

Inter Miami
4 - 1
Orlando City

Campana (1'), Higuain (38', 52' pen.), Lassiter (56')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Kara (71')
Carlos (59'), Urso (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Major League Soccer clash between Inter Miami and Orlando City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Toronto 0-1 Inter Miami
Saturday, October 1 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: NY City 2-1 Orlando City
Sunday, October 2 at 6pm in Major League Soccer

We said: Inter Miami 1-0 Orlando City

The marquee players on Miami are finally coming to the forefront, namely Higuain, who is currently in the best form of his Major League Soccer career. Orlando are missing a quality attacker who can make that difference, and they appear to be damaged psychologically of late, which is a bad sign this late into the campaign. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Miami win with a probability of 39.52%. A win for Orlando City had a probability of 34.51% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (6.69%). The likeliest Orlando City win was 0-1 (8.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Miami would win this match.

Result
Inter MiamiDrawOrlando City
39.52% (-0.197 -0.2) 25.97% (0.093 0.09) 34.51% (0.10299999999999 0.1)
Both teams to score 54.11% (-0.3 -0.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.77% (-0.391 -0.39)50.23% (0.392 0.39)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.81% (-0.347 -0.35)72.19% (0.348 0.35)
Inter Miami Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75% (-0.285 -0.28)25% (0.285 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.34% (-0.394 -0.39)59.65% (0.395 0.4)
Orlando City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.15% (-0.125 -0.13)27.85% (0.125 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.54% (-0.161 -0.16)63.45% (0.16200000000001 0.16)
Score Analysis
    Inter Miami 39.52%
    Orlando City 34.51%
    Draw 25.96%
Inter MiamiDrawOrlando City
1-0 @ 9.65% (0.074 0.07)
2-1 @ 8.55% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 6.69% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 3.95% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-0 @ 3.09% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.53% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.37% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.07% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 39.52%
1-1 @ 12.33% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 6.96% (0.11 0.11)
2-2 @ 5.47% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.08% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.96%
0-1 @ 8.9% (0.11 0.11)
1-2 @ 7.89% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 5.69% (0.05 0.05)
1-3 @ 3.36% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.42% (0.013 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.33% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.07% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 34.51%

How you voted: Inter Miami vs Orlando City

Inter Miami
61.9%
Draw
14.3%
Orlando City
23.8%
21
Head to Head
Jul 10, 2022 3.24am
Orlando City
1-0
Inter Miami
Lowe (90+2' og.)
Smith (45+3')

Duke (52')
Aug 28, 2021 1.30am
Aug 5, 2021 1am
Jun 26, 2021 1am
Inter Miami
1-2
Orlando City
Higuain (67')
Ulloa (62'), Matuidi (71'), Gonzalez Pirez (79')
Mueller (73'), Nani (80')
Pereyra (10'), Urso (62'), Mueller (79')
Oct 24, 2020 8.30pm
Inter Miami
2-1
Orlando City
Jansson (45' og.), Gonzalez Pirez (89')
Gonzalez Pirez (7'), Pizarro (23'), Reyes (79'), Agudelo (90+4'), McCarthy (90+6')
Dike (12')
Urso (62'), Ruan (86'), Nani (90+3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami18105342271535
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati1610332316733
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls168532922729
4New York City FCNY City169252417729
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC177461818025
6Columbus Crew146622113824
7Toronto177372626024
8Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia164842723420
9Nashville SCNashville164752022-219
10DC United174762531-619
11Orlando City164571624-817
12CF MontrealMontreal164572335-1217
13Atlanta UnitedAtlanta164482221116
14Chicago Fire173681729-1215
15New England RevolutionNew England1431101127-1610

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1796236191733
2Los Angeles FCLos Angeles169342819930
3Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd158432720728
4Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy177733125628
5Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver167452419525
6Austin FCAustin176562125-423
7Houston DynamoHouston166461818022
8Colorado RapidsColorado176472931-222
9Portland TimbersPortland175573232020
10Seattle SoundersSeattle164661919018
11St Louis City153842325-217
12Dallas153481724-713
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas162592431-711
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes1632112439-1511


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