We said: Charlotte FC 1-1 Atlanta United
In a run starting with their defeat against Charlotte last April, Atlanta have conspired to win just one of their previous 15 away games.
However, with the likes of Almada pulling the strings behind a freshly available Giakoumakis, Atlanta could earn a draw against their emerging rivals from the club's first away trip of the new season.
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Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlotte FC win with a probability of 41.94%. A win for Atlanta United had a probability of 33.6% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charlotte FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.27%) and 2-0 (6.47%). The likeliest Atlanta United win was 1-2 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.