Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 51.81%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 22.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.88%) and 1-2 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.98%), while for a Saint-Etienne win it was 1-0 (7.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood.
Result | ||
Saint-Etienne | Draw | Lille |
22.91% | 25.28% | 51.81% |
Both teams to score 48.8% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.4% | 53.6% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.9% | 75.1% |
Saint-Etienne Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.54% | 38.46% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.79% | 75.21% |
Lille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.3% | 20.7% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.7% | 53.3% |
Score Analysis |
Saint-Etienne | Draw | Lille |
1-0 @ 7.61% 2-1 @ 5.72% 2-0 @ 3.63% 3-1 @ 1.82% 3-2 @ 1.44% 3-0 @ 1.16% Other @ 1.53% Total : 22.91% | 1-1 @ 11.98% 0-0 @ 7.96% 2-2 @ 4.51% Other @ 0.83% Total : 25.28% | 0-1 @ 12.53% 0-2 @ 9.88% 1-2 @ 9.44% 0-3 @ 5.19% 1-3 @ 4.96% 2-3 @ 2.37% 0-4 @ 2.04% 1-4 @ 1.95% 2-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.52% Total : 51.8% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 31 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 76 | 29 | 47 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 61 |
3 | Brest | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 49 | 33 | 16 | 57 |
4 | Lille | 32 | 15 | 10 | 7 | 48 | 31 | 17 | 55 |
5 | Nice | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 51 |
6 | Lens | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 42 | 34 | 8 | 49 |
7 | Lyon | 32 | 14 | 5 | 13 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 47 |
8 | Rennes | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 51 | 43 | 8 | 45 |
9 | Marseille | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 44 |
10 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 40 |
11 | Toulouse | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 39 | 42 | -3 | 40 |
12 | Reims | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 35 | 47 | -12 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 33 | 42 | -9 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 32 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 32 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 63 | -26 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 32 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 26 | 54 | -28 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |