Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 38.05%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 32.75% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.67%) and 2-0 (7.37%). The likeliest Nantes win was 0-1 (11.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.
Result | ||
Marseille | Draw | Nantes |
38.05% | 29.2% | 32.75% |
Both teams to score 44.07% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
37.31% | 62.68% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
17.76% | 82.24% |
Marseille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.17% | 31.83% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.73% | 68.26% |
Nantes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.65% | 35.35% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.89% | 72.11% |
Score Analysis |
Marseille | Draw | Nantes |
1-0 @ 12.88% 2-1 @ 7.67% 2-0 @ 7.37% 3-1 @ 2.93% 3-0 @ 2.81% 3-2 @ 1.52% Other @ 2.87% Total : 38.05% | 1-1 @ 13.39% 0-0 @ 11.25% 2-2 @ 3.99% Other @ 0.57% Total : 29.19% | 0-1 @ 11.7% 1-2 @ 6.96% 0-2 @ 6.08% 1-3 @ 2.41% 0-3 @ 2.11% 2-3 @ 1.38% Other @ 2.1% Total : 32.75% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 34 | 22 | 10 | 2 | 81 | 33 | 48 | 76 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 42 | 26 | 67 |
3 | Brest | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 53 | 34 | 19 | 61 |
4 | Lille | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 52 | 34 | 18 | 59 |
5 | Nice | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 55 |
6 | Lyon | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 53 |
7 | Lens | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 51 |
8 | Marseille | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 50 |
9 | Reims | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 47 |
10 | Rennes | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 46 |
11 | Toulouse | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 42 | 46 | -4 | 43 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 43 | 48 | -5 | 41 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 39 |
14 | NantesNantes | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 30 | 55 | -25 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 34 | 8 | 5 | 21 | 35 | 58 | -23 | 29 |
R | Lorient | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 43 | 66 | -23 | 29 |
R | Clermont | 34 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 26 | 60 | -34 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |