Ligue 1 | Gameweek 2
Aug 20, 2023 at 12pm UK
Stade Pierre-Mauroy
We said: Lille 2-0 Nantes
Without their number one goalkeeper, Nantes' hopes of ending a dismal stretch of away form - as well as their lengthy winless run against Lille - are surely slim to none this weekend.
Fonseca's men turned the Stade Pierre-Mauroy into a fortress last season, and they should find a way to break down the defensive Nantes setup en route to all three points.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 63.96%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 15.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.45%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.58%), while for a Nantes win it was 0-1 (4.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Lille in this match.
| Result |
| Lille | Draw | Nantes |
63.96% ( 0.34) | 20.26% ( -0.17) | 15.77% ( -0.18) |
| Both teams to score 52.43% ( 0.16) |
| 57.34% ( 0.42) | 42.66% ( -0.42) |
| 34.94% ( 0.42) | 65.06% ( -0.42) |
| 87.35% ( 0.23) | 12.65% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 61.2% ( 0.47) | 38.79% ( -0.47) |
| 60.03% ( 0.03) | 39.97% ( -0.03) |
