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Clermont Foot
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
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Lyon
Marseille
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Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
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Reims
Rennes
Strasbourg
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Lille
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 1
Aug 7, 2022 at 2pm UK
Stade Pierre-Mauroy
AJ Auxerre

Lille
4 - 1
Auxerre

Andre (1'), David (3', 39'), Zedadka (64')
Gomes (58'), Djalo (73')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Charbonnier (68')
Jeanvier (44')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lille and Auxerre, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lille 2-2 Rennes
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Lille 2-0 Auxerre

Lille's reshuffled defence may take a bit of time to gel with one another, but they should not be troubled by Auxerre this weekend, as Furlan's side experience a baptism of fire on their return to the big time. The visitors may have got the better of Ligue 1 opposition in Saint-Etienne last season, but the Fonseca revolution ought to begin in winning fashion for Les Dogues here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 58.59%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Auxerre had a probability of 18.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.84%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.87%), while for an Auxerre win it was 0-1 (6.03%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.

Result
LilleDrawAuxerre
58.59% (0.227 0.23) 22.86% (0.276 0.28) 18.55% (-0.507 -0.51)
Both teams to score 49.72% (-1.74 -1.74)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.85% (-1.873 -1.87)49.15% (1.869 1.87)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.78% (-1.716 -1.72)71.22% (1.712 1.71)
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.54% (-0.577 -0.58)16.46% (0.573 0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.84% (-1.046 -1.05)46.16% (1.043 1.04)
Auxerre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.52% (-1.663 -1.66)40.48% (1.659 1.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.91% (-1.537 -1.54)77.09% (1.535 1.54)
Score Analysis
    Lille 58.59%
    Auxerre 18.55%
    Draw 22.86%
LilleDrawAuxerre
1-0 @ 12.02% (0.68 0.68)
2-0 @ 10.84% (0.41 0.41)
2-1 @ 9.81% (-0.067 -0.07)
3-0 @ 6.52% (0.122 0.12)
3-1 @ 5.9% (-0.157 -0.16)
4-0 @ 2.94% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-2 @ 2.67% (-0.198 -0.2)
4-1 @ 2.66% (-0.125 -0.13)
4-2 @ 1.2% (-0.115 -0.12)
5-0 @ 1.06% (-0.022 -0.02)
5-1 @ 0.96% (-0.065 -0.07)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 58.59%
1-1 @ 10.87% (0.14 0.14)
0-0 @ 6.66% (0.496 0.5)
2-2 @ 4.44% (-0.238 -0.24)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 22.86%
0-1 @ 6.03% (0.189 0.19)
1-2 @ 4.92% (-0.163 -0.16)
0-2 @ 2.73% (-0.037 -0.04)
1-3 @ 1.48% (-0.121 -0.12)
2-3 @ 1.34% (-0.137 -0.14)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 18.55%

How you voted: Lille vs Auxerre

Lille
80.3%
Draw
14.8%
Auxerre
4.9%
61
Head to Head
Oct 29, 2013 7pm
Lille
0-1
Auxerre
Haller (113')
Prince Segbefia (41'), Ait-Ben-Idir (76'), Ngando (118')
Mar 3, 2012 6pm
Oct 15, 2011 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG332110279334673
2MonacoMonaco33197764422264
3Lille331610750321858
4Brest331610750341658
5Nice33159938271154
6Lens33148114335850
7Lyon33155134754-750
8Marseille3312111050401047
9Rennes331210115244846
10Reims33128134046-644
11Toulouse331110124243-143
12Montpellier HSCMontpellier331011124146-540
13StrasbourgStrasbourg33109143748-1139
14NantesNantes3396183051-2133
15Le HavreLe Havre33711153343-1032
16Metz3385203556-2129
17Lorient3368193866-2826
RClermont33510182655-2925


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