Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 43.25%. A win for Nice had a probability of 30.37% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (7.78%). The likeliest Nice win was 0-1 (8.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Lens | Draw | Nice |
43.25% | 26.39% | 30.37% |
Both teams to score 51.41% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.91% | 53.09% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.33% | 74.67% |
Lens Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.64% | 24.37% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.23% | 58.77% |
Nice Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.97% | 32.03% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.51% | 68.5% |
Score Analysis |
Lens | Draw | Nice |
1-0 @ 11.01% 2-1 @ 8.86% 2-0 @ 7.78% 3-1 @ 4.17% 3-0 @ 3.66% 3-2 @ 2.37% 4-1 @ 1.47% 4-0 @ 1.29% Other @ 2.62% Total : 43.24% | 1-1 @ 12.54% 0-0 @ 7.8% 2-2 @ 5.04% 3-3 @ 0.9% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.38% | 0-1 @ 8.89% 1-2 @ 7.14% 0-2 @ 5.06% 1-3 @ 2.71% 0-3 @ 1.92% 2-3 @ 1.91% Other @ 2.74% Total : 30.37% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 31 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 76 | 29 | 47 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 61 |
3 | Brest | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 49 | 33 | 16 | 57 |
4 | Lille | 32 | 15 | 10 | 7 | 48 | 31 | 17 | 55 |
5 | Nice | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 51 |
6 | Lens | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 42 | 34 | 8 | 49 |
7 | Lyon | 32 | 14 | 5 | 13 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 47 |
8 | Rennes | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 51 | 43 | 8 | 45 |
9 | Marseille | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 44 |
10 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 40 |
11 | Toulouse | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 39 | 42 | -3 | 40 |
12 | Reims | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 35 | 47 | -12 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 33 | 42 | -9 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 32 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 32 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 63 | -26 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 32 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 26 | 54 | -28 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |