Ligue 1 | Gameweek 9
Oct 20, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stade Oceane
We said: Le Havre 0-1 Lens
With suspensions, injuries and international-related fatigue plaguing both head coaches, Friday's encounter is unlikely to be a classic, especially if both of Bayo and Wahi are not present on the Stade Oceane turf.
A fortnight's hiatus has the potential to harm Lens' momentum, but Les Sang et Or have typically been a tough nut to crack defensively in recent weeks and could feel aggrieved not to have taken three points from their clash with Lille, so we have faith in Haise's side to pick up where they left off and rise further up the rankings.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 42.65%. A win for Le Havre had a probability of 30.65% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.75%) and 0-2 (7.76%). The likeliest Le Havre win was 1-0 (9.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
| Result |
| Le Havre | Draw | Lens |
30.65% ( 0.05) | 26.7% ( -0) | 42.65% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 50.6% ( 0.03) |
| 45.81% ( 0.02) | 54.2% ( -0.02) |
| 24.4% ( 0.02) | 75.6% ( -0.02) |
| 67.61% ( 0.05) | 32.39% ( -0.05) |
