Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 53.53%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Clermont had a probability of 22.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.9%) and 1-2 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.59%), while for a Clermont win it was 1-0 (6.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rennes would win this match.
Result | ||
Clermont | Draw | Rennes |
22.08% ( 0) | 24.39% | 53.53% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 50.44% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.07% ( 0.01) | 50.93% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.2% ( 0.01) | 72.8% ( -0.01) |
Clermont Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.24% ( 0.01) | 37.76% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.46% ( 0.01) | 74.53% ( -0.01) |
Rennes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.04% ( 0) | 18.96% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.51% ( 0) | 50.49% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Clermont | Draw | Rennes |
1-0 @ 6.97% ( -0) 2-1 @ 5.65% ( 0) 2-0 @ 3.4% ( 0) 3-1 @ 1.83% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.52% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.1% Other @ 1.61% Total : 22.08% | 1-1 @ 11.59% 0-0 @ 7.16% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.69% ( 0) Other @ 0.94% Total : 24.38% | 0-1 @ 11.9% 0-2 @ 9.9% ( -0) 1-2 @ 9.64% 0-3 @ 5.49% ( -0) 1-3 @ 5.34% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.6% ( 0) 0-4 @ 2.28% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.22% 2-4 @ 1.08% Other @ 3.08% Total : 53.52% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 32 | 20 | 10 | 2 | 77 | 32 | 45 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 64 | 42 | 22 | 64 |
3 | Lille | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 32 | 18 | 58 |
4 | Brest | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 58 |
5 | Nice | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 37 | 25 | 12 | 54 |
6 | Lens | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 50 |
7 | Lyon | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 54 | -7 | 50 |
8 | Marseille | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 50 | 39 | 11 | 47 |
9 | Rennes | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 52 | 44 | 8 | 46 |
10 | Toulouse | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 43 |
11 | Reims | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 39 | 46 | -7 | 41 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 39 |
14 | NantesNantes | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 30 | 51 | -21 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 33 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 38 | 66 | -28 | 26 |
R | Clermont | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |