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Premier League | Gameweek 37
May 11, 2024 at 3pm UK
London Stadium
Luton Town

West Ham
3 - 1
Luton

Ward-Prowse (54'), Soucek (65'), Earthy (76')
Palmieri (52')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Sambi Lokonga (6')
Barkley (10'), Burke (79'), Morris (83')

The Match

Match Report

Luton Town's Premier League survival chances are left in tatters courtesy of a 3-1 defeat to West Ham United at the London Stadium.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between West Ham United and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Luton 1-1 Everton
Friday, May 3 at 8pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Ham United win with a probability of 64.05%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Luton Town had a probability of 17.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Ham United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.36%) and 3-1 (7.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.18%), while for a Luton Town win it was 1-2 (4.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that West Ham United would win this match.

Result
West Ham UnitedDrawLuton Town
64.05% (-0.562 -0.56) 18.68% (0.221 0.22) 17.26% (0.339 0.34)
Both teams to score 61.75% (-0.098000000000006 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.82% (-0.453 -0.45)32.18% (0.452 0.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.23% (-0.532 -0.53)53.77% (0.529 0.53)
West Ham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.43% (-0.258 -0.26)9.57% (0.2569 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.98% (-0.60600000000001 -0.61)32.02% (0.603 0.6)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.28% (0.084000000000003 0.08)31.72% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.86% (0.093999999999998 0.09)68.14% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    West Ham United 64.06%
    Luton Town 17.26%
    Draw 18.68%
West Ham UnitedDrawLuton Town
2-1 @ 9.6% (0.037000000000001 0.04)
2-0 @ 8.36% (0.011999999999999 0.01)
3-1 @ 7.51% (-0.058 -0.06)
1-0 @ 7.12% (0.092 0.09)
3-0 @ 6.54% (-0.065 -0.06)
4-1 @ 4.4% (-0.085 -0.09)
3-2 @ 4.31% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-0 @ 3.84% (-0.083 -0.08)
4-2 @ 2.53% (-0.043 -0.04)
5-1 @ 2.07% (-0.064 -0.06)
5-0 @ 1.8% (-0.061 -0.06)
5-2 @ 1.19% (-0.034 -0.03)
4-3 @ 0.97% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 3.84%
Total : 64.06%
1-1 @ 8.18% (0.124 0.12)
2-2 @ 5.51% (0.033 0.03)
0-0 @ 3.04% (0.074 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.65% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 18.68%
1-2 @ 4.7% (0.082 0.08)
0-1 @ 3.49% (0.092 0.09)
2-3 @ 2.11% (0.017 0.02)
0-2 @ 2% (0.058 0.06)
1-3 @ 1.8% (0.035 0.03)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 17.26%

How you voted: West Ham vs Luton

West Ham United
58.9%
Draw
25.3%
Luton Town
15.8%
158
Head to Head
Sep 1, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 4
Luton
1-2
West Ham
Andersen (90+2')
Nakamba (87')
Bowen (37'), Zouma (85')
Palmieri (81')
Jul 23, 2022 3pm
Club Friendlies
Luton
1-1
West Ham
Bradley (90')
Soucek (27')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CManchester CityMan City38287396346291
2Arsenal38285591296289
3Liverpool382410486414582
4Aston Villa382081076611568
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs382061274611366
6Chelsea381891177631463
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle381861485622360
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd38186145758-160
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham381410146074-1452
10Crystal Palace381310155758-149
11Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton381212145562-748
12Bournemouth38139165467-1348
13Fulham38138175561-647
14Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38137185065-1546
15Everton38139164051-1140
16Brentford38109195665-939
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3899204967-1832
RLuton TownLuton3868245285-3326
RBurnley3859244178-3724
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd38372835104-6916


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