MX23RW : Monday, May 20 00:14:41| >> :600:195818:195818:
Toulouse
Europa League | Group Stage
Nov 30, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stadium de Toulouse (Toulouse)

Toulouse
0 - 0
Union SG


Sierro (57')
FT

Vanhoutte (14'), Mac Allister (34'), El Amine Amoura (56'), Sadiki (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Toulouse and Union SG, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nice 1-0 Toulouse
Sunday, November 26 at 12pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Gent 1-1 Union SG
Sunday, November 26 at 12.30pm in Belgian Pro League

We said: Toulouse 2-1 Union SG

With their penchant for profligacy in the Europa League well-documented, Union SG will struggle to fight fire with fire on Toulouse's turf, where Les Violets have only been beaten in one of their last nine competitive matches. A closely-fought contest should still be in store, as was the case in September, but the return of a well-rested Dallinga should give Toulouse the extra attacking edge required to get over the line and ensure a top-two finish. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 42.96%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 32.12% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.01%) and 0-2 (6.96%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 1-0 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
ToulouseDrawUnion SG
32.12% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 24.92%42.96% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Both teams to score 56.96% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.77% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)46.24% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.47% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)68.53% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Toulouse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.6% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)27.4% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.13% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)62.88% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Union SG Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.47% (0.0010000000000048 0)21.54%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.4% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)54.61% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Score Analysis
    Toulouse 32.12%
    Union SG 42.97%
    Draw 24.92%
ToulouseDrawUnion SG
1-0 @ 7.64% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-1 @ 7.59% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 4.95%
3-1 @ 3.28% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.52% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 2.13% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 32.12%
1-1 @ 11.73%
0-0 @ 5.9% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 5.83% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-3 @ 1.29%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.92%
0-1 @ 9.06% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-2 @ 9.01% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 6.96% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 4.61%
0-3 @ 3.56% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.98%
1-4 @ 1.77%
0-4 @ 1.37%
2-4 @ 1.15%
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 42.97%

How you voted: Toulouse vs Union SG

Toulouse
67.5%
Draw
20.0%
Union SG
12.5%
40
Head to Head
Sep 21, 2023 5.55pm
Group Stage
Union SG
1-1
Toulouse
El Amine Amoura (69')
Vanhoutte (14'), Mac Allister (53'), Sadiki (78'), Blessin (81')
Dallinga (45+3' pen.)
Donnum (33'), Costa (66'), Magri (86')
Costa (90+4')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CManchester CityMan City38287396346291
2Arsenal38285591296289
3Liverpool382410486414582
4Aston Villa382081076611568
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs382061274611366
6Chelsea381891177631463
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle381861485622360
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd38186145758-160
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham381410146074-1452
10Crystal Palace381310155758-149
11Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton381212145562-748
12Bournemouth38139165467-1348
13Fulham38138175561-647
14Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38137185065-1546
15Everton38139164051-1140
16Brentford38109195665-939
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3899204967-1832
RLuton TownLuton3868245285-3326
RBurnley3859244178-3724
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd38372835104-6916


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!