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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 86.79%. A draw had a probability of 8.7% and a win for FC Volendam had a probability of 4.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.04%) and 4-0 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.9%), while for a FC Volendam win it was 1-2 (1.44%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
Result | ||
PSV Eindhoven | Draw | FC Volendam |
86.79% ( 0.56) | 8.74% ( -0.33) | 4.48% ( -0.23) |
Both teams to score 50.66% ( -0.13) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
78.72% ( 0.67) | 21.28% ( -0.66) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
60.1% ( 0.92) | 39.89% ( -0.91) |
PSV Eindhoven Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
96.79% ( 0.19) | 3.21% ( -0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
85.76% ( 0.61) | 14.24% ( -0.61) |
FC Volendam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
52.34% ( -0.23) | 47.65% ( 0.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.02% ( -0.18) | 82.98% ( 0.18) |
Score Analysis |
PSV Eindhoven | Draw | FC Volendam |
3-0 @ 10.36% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 9.04% ( -0.16) 4-0 @ 8.92% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 7.68% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 6.7% ( -0.16) 4-1 @ 6.61% ( 0.05) 5-0 @ 6.13% ( 0.18) 1-0 @ 5.26% ( -0.18) 5-1 @ 4.55% ( 0.11) 6-0 @ 3.52% ( 0.16) 3-2 @ 2.85% ( -0.04) 6-1 @ 2.61% ( 0.1) 4-2 @ 2.45% ( 0) 7-0 @ 1.73% ( 0.1) 5-2 @ 1.69% ( 0.03) 7-1 @ 1.28% ( 0.07) 6-2 @ 0.97% ( 0.03) Other @ 4.45% Total : 86.78% | 1-1 @ 3.9% ( -0.16) 2-2 @ 2.48% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 1.53% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.83% Total : 8.74% | 1-2 @ 1.44% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 1.13% ( -0.07) Other @ 1.9% Total : 4.48% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 34 | 29 | 4 | 1 | 111 | 21 | 90 | 91 |
2 | Feyenoord | 34 | 26 | 6 | 2 | 92 | 26 | 66 | 84 |
3 | FC Twente | 34 | 21 | 6 | 7 | 69 | 36 | 33 | 69 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 70 | 39 | 31 | 65 |
5 | Ajax | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 74 | 61 | 13 | 56 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 68 | 51 | 17 | 53 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 49 | 47 | 2 | 50 |
8 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 51 | 48 | 3 | 49 |
9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 47 | 46 | 1 | 46 |
10 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 37 | 56 | -19 | 38 |
11 | Heerenveen | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 53 | 70 | -17 | 37 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 45 | 67 | -22 | 36 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 33 | 59 | -26 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 33 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 38 | 56 | -18 | 29 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 50 | 73 | -23 | 29 |
R | FC VolendamVolendam | 34 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 34 | 88 | -54 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 34 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 30 | 74 | -44 | 6 |
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