MX23RW : Friday, May 17 09:01:14| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
FC Volendam
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Vitesse
FC Utrecht
Eredivisie | Gameweek 26
Mar 17, 2024 at 1.30pm UK
Stadion Galgenwaard
NEC

Utrecht
1 - 0
Nijmegen

Lammers (61')
Bozdogan (42'), van der Hoorn (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Nuytinck (19')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between FC Utrecht and NEC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Almere City 1-1 Utrecht
Saturday, March 9 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Nijmegen 2-0 Heerenveen
Sunday, March 10 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie

We said: FC Utrecht 2-1 NEC

There is little to pick between the sides heading into this one, and Sunday's game could easily head either way. That said, we are backing the hosts to get the job done come the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 54.47%. A win for NEC had a probability of 24.36% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.16%) and 1-0 (6.92%). The likeliest NEC win was 1-2 (6.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Utrecht would win this match.

Result
FC UtrechtDrawNEC
54.47% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03) 21.17% (0.155 0.16) 24.36% (-0.115 -0.12)
Both teams to score 64.24% (-0.73099999999999 -0.73)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.97% (-0.89200000000001 -0.89)34.03% (0.9 0.9)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.1% (-1.018 -1.02)55.9% (1.025 1.03)
FC Utrecht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.35% (-0.304 -0.3)12.65% (0.312 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.2% (-0.637 -0.64)38.8% (0.64599999999999 0.65)
NEC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.54% (-0.574 -0.57)26.46% (0.581 0.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.36% (-0.771 -0.77)61.64% (0.779 0.78)
Score Analysis
    FC Utrecht 54.47%
    NEC 24.36%
    Draw 21.17%
FC UtrechtDrawNEC
2-1 @ 9.51% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
2-0 @ 7.16% (0.164 0.16)
1-0 @ 6.92% (0.239 0.24)
3-1 @ 6.56% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-0 @ 4.93% (0.055 0.05)
3-2 @ 4.36% (-0.096 -0.1)
4-1 @ 3.39% (-0.059 -0.06)
4-0 @ 2.55% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-2 @ 2.25% (-0.077 -0.08)
5-1 @ 1.4% (-0.042 -0.04)
5-0 @ 1.05% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-3 @ 1% (-0.052 -0.05)
5-2 @ 0.93% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 54.47%
1-1 @ 9.2% (0.169 0.17)
2-2 @ 6.32% (-0.064 -0.06)
0-0 @ 3.35% (0.154 0.15)
3-3 @ 1.93% (-0.076 -0.08)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 21.17%
1-2 @ 6.12% (0.011 0.01)
0-1 @ 4.45% (0.133 0.13)
0-2 @ 2.96% (0.041 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.8% (-0.075 -0.07)
1-3 @ 2.71% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.31% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 0.93% (-0.041 -0.04)
1-4 @ 0.9% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 24.36%

How you voted: Utrecht vs Nijmegen

FC Utrecht
56.3%
Draw
12.5%
NEC
31.3%
16
Head to Head
Sep 23, 2023 5.45pm
Gameweek 6
Nijmegen
3-0
Utrecht
Proper (31'), Mattsson (34'), Dost (52' pen.)
Verdonk (17')

Jensen (44'), van der Maarel (58')
Mar 12, 2023 11.15am
Gameweek 25
Nijmegen
2-2
Utrecht
Dimata (31', 48')
Dost (63'), Boussaid (67')
Sep 16, 2022 7pm
Apr 29, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 28
Utrecht
1-0
Nijmegen
Douvikas (77')

Duelund (14'), Bruijn (50'), Proper (73')
Sep 22, 2021 5.45pm
Gameweek 5
Nijmegen
0-3
Utrecht
Ramselaar (7', 79'), Douvikas (66')
van der Maarel (66')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPSV EindhovenPSV332841108208888
2Feyenoord33256288266281
3FC Twente33206767353266
4AZ AlkmaarAZ33197767363164
5Ajax331510872591355
6NECNijmegen331311964501450
7FC UtrechtUtrecht331310104644249
8Sparta RotterdamSparta33137134947246
9Go Ahead Eagles331110124545043
10Heerenveen33107165268-1637
11Fortuna SittardSittard33910143756-1937
12PEC Zwolle3399154465-2136
13Almere CityAlmere City33713133255-2334
14Heracles3395194174-3332
15RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk3378183753-1629
16SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior33611165069-1929
RFC VolendamVolendam3347223386-5319
RVitesse3365222872-445


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