MX23RW : Sunday, May 19 17:58:05| >> :600:3618055:3618055:
Crewe Alexandra
EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Oct 10, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Alexandra Stadium
Wrexham AFC

Crewe
0 - 3
Wrexham


Colkett (33')
Offord (72')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Offord (5' og.), Davies (13'), Young (73' pen.)
Davies (11')
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Crewe Alexandra and Wrexham.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crewe Alexandra

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last Game: Salford City 4-2 Crewe
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in League Two

Wrexham

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last Game: Crawley 0-1 Wrexham
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 45.6%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 30.46% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.37%) and 0-2 (6.99%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 2-1 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.

Result
Crewe AlexandraDrawWrexham
30.46% (0.0039999999999978 0) 23.94%45.6% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Both teams to score 59.55% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.5%42.49% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.1% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)64.9% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.37% (0.00099999999999056 0)26.62%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.14%61.85%
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.15% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)18.85% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.7% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)50.3% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Crewe Alexandra 30.46%
    Wrexham 45.6%
    Draw 23.94%
Crewe AlexandraDrawWrexham
2-1 @ 7.33% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-0 @ 6.64% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 4.39% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 3.24%
3-2 @ 2.7%
3-0 @ 1.94%
4-1 @ 1.07%
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 30.46%
1-1 @ 11.08%
2-2 @ 6.12%
0-0 @ 5.02%
3-3 @ 1.5%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 23.94%
1-2 @ 9.25% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-1 @ 8.37%
0-2 @ 6.99%
1-3 @ 5.14%
0-3 @ 3.89%
2-3 @ 3.4%
1-4 @ 2.15%
0-4 @ 1.62%
2-4 @ 1.42%
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 45.6%

How you voted: Crewe vs Wrexham

Crewe Alexandra
40.0%
Draw
6.7%
Wrexham
53.3%
15
Head to Head
Sep 30, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 10
Wrexham
3-3
Crewe
Mullin (40', 47'), Fletcher (90+5')
Palmer (11'), Parkinson (12'), McClean (45+2'), Boyle (45+4'), Mullin (90+2')
Barnett (36')
Demetriou (24'), Long (45+5' pen.), Tracey (65')
Tracey (33'), Williams (79'), Davies (82'), Holicek (87')
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