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Europa Conference League header WWW

UEFA Conference League
Club Brugge
Europa Conference League | Group Stage
Nov 9, 2023 at 8pm UK
Jan Breydelstadion
Lugano

Brugge
2 - 0
Lugano

Thiago (62' pen.), Vanaken (90+6')
Thiago (47'), Vanaken (63')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Marques (41'), Mahmoud (43'), Steffen (66'), Sabbatini (74'), El Wafi (90+5')
Coverage of the Europa Conference League Group Stage clash between Club Brugge and Lugano.

Form, Standings, Stats

Club Brugge

All competitions
Europa Conference League
Last Game: Union SG 2-1 Brugge
Sunday, November 5 at 5.30pm in Belgian Pro League

Lugano

All competitions
Europa Conference League
Last Game: Lausanne 3-1 Lugano
Saturday, November 4 at 5pm in Swiss Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Brugge win with a probability of 57.18%. A win for Lugano had a probability of 21.51% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club Brugge win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.41%) and 1-0 (8.31%). The likeliest Lugano win was 1-2 (5.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club Brugge would win this match.

Result
Club BruggeDrawLugano
57.18% (0.00099999999999767 0) 21.3% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01) 21.51% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 59.82% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.88% (0.030999999999999 0.03)38.11% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.61% (0.033999999999999 0.03)60.39% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Club Brugge Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.81% (0.010000000000005 0.01)13.19% (-0.011999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.09% (0.022000000000006 0.02)39.91% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Lugano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.91% (0.022000000000006 0.02)31.09% (-0.023 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.59% (0.025999999999996 0.03)67.41% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Club Brugge 57.18%
    Lugano 21.51%
    Draw 21.3%
Club BruggeDrawLugano
2-1 @ 9.83% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 8.41% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.31% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.64% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 5.68% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-2 @ 3.88% (0.0029999999999997 0)
4-1 @ 3.36% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-0 @ 2.88% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.96% (0.0029999999999999 0)
5-1 @ 1.36% (0.002 0)
5-0 @ 1.17%
Other @ 3.71%
Total : 57.18%
1-1 @ 9.71% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.74% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 4.1% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.51% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 21.3%
1-2 @ 5.67%
0-1 @ 4.79% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 2.8% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.24% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 2.21% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 21.51%

How you voted: Brugge vs Lugano

Club Brugge
80.0%
Draw
10.0%
Lugano
10.0%
20
Head to Head
Oct 26, 2023 5.45pm
Group Stage
Lugano
1-3
Brugge
Vladi (74')
Croci-Torti (43'), Steffen (45'), Hajrizi (56'), Vladi (72')
Balanta (15'), Skov Olsen (50'), Vanaken (87')
Thiago (27'), Vanaken (46'), Jutlga Blanc (89')
rhs 2.0
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