MX23RW : Sunday, May 19 19:32:59| >> :600:178916:178916:
Aberdeen logo
Europa Conference League | Group Stage
Oct 5, 2023 at 8pm UK
Pittodrie Stadium
HJK logo

Aberdeen
1 - 1
HJK Helsinki

Miovski (79')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Radulovic (59')
Korkeakunnas (81'), Lingman (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Aberdeen and HJK Helsinki, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rangers 1-3 Aberdeen
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: HJK Helsinki 3-0 Honka
Wednesday, September 27 at 4pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga

We said: Aberdeen 1-1 HJK Helsinki

With both teams heading into this contest aware that they cannot afford to lose twice in a row, we expect a tense affair, one that will feature few goals. Although Aberdeen are on a high from the weekend, this is a pressure game, and the visitors could do enough to earn a point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 38.94%. A win for HJK Helsinki had a probability of 35.55% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (6.37%). The likeliest HJK Helsinki win was 0-1 (8.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
AberdeenDrawHJK Helsinki
38.94% (-0.369 -0.37) 25.51% (0.024000000000001 0.02) 35.55% (0.342 0.34)
Both teams to score 55.83% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.9% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)48.09% (0.067 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.74% (-0.064 -0.06)70.26% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
Aberdeen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.66% (-0.22499999999999 -0.22)24.34% (0.221 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.27% (-0.319 -0.32)58.73% (0.314 0.31)
HJK Helsinki Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.79% (0.16600000000001 0.17)26.21% (-0.17 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.69% (0.222 0.22)61.31% (-0.226 -0.23)
Score Analysis
    Aberdeen 38.94%
    HJK Helsinki 35.55%
    Draw 25.51%
AberdeenDrawHJK Helsinki
1-0 @ 9.01% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
2-1 @ 8.53% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
2-0 @ 6.37% (-0.065 -0.07)
3-1 @ 4.02% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-0 @ 3% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.69% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.42% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.06% (-0.025 -0.02)
4-2 @ 0.95% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 38.94%
1-1 @ 12.07% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.38% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.71% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 1.2% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.51%
0-1 @ 8.54% (0.065 0.06)
1-2 @ 8.08% (0.046999999999999 0.05)
0-2 @ 5.72% (0.07 0.07)
1-3 @ 3.61% (0.038 0.04)
0-3 @ 2.55% (0.043 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.55% (0.011 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.21% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 35.55%

How you voted: Aberdeen vs HJK Helsinki

Aberdeen
53.8%
Draw
30.8%
HJK Helsinki
15.4%
13
rhs 2.0
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3Liverpool382410486414582
4Aston Villa382081076611568
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs382061274611366
6Chelsea381891177631463
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle381861485622360
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd38186145758-160
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham381410146074-1452
10Crystal Palace381310155758-149
11Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton381212145562-748
12Bournemouth38139165467-1348
13Fulham38138175561-647
14Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38137185065-1546
15Everton38139164051-1140
16Brentford38109195665-939
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3899204967-1832
RLuton TownLuton3868245285-3326
RBurnley3859244178-3724
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd38372835104-6916


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