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Scunthorpe United
League Two | Gameweek 25
Jan 1, 2022 at 3pm UK
Glanford Park
Carlisle United

Scunthorpe
0 - 1
Carlisle


Rowe (35'), Hackney (52')
FT(HT: 0-1)
McDonald (40')
Dickenson (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Scunthorpe United and Carlisle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Scunthorpe United 2-1 Carlisle United

Both teams have struggled so far this season and they are each in a real need to add some points if they are wanting to survive relegation. There is no doubt that each squad will view this as a must win game, but considering the recent form Scunthorpe have displayed, they should have enough to edge things. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 49.93%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Scunthorpe United had a probability of 23.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.01%) and 1-2 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.44%), while for a Scunthorpe United win it was 1-0 (8.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Carlisle United in this match.

Result
Scunthorpe UnitedDrawCarlisle United
23.41%26.66%49.93%
Both teams to score 45.49%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.8%58.2%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.15%78.85%
Scunthorpe United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.41%40.58%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.81%77.18%
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.57%23.43%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.57%57.43%
Score Analysis
    Scunthorpe United 23.41%
    Carlisle United 49.92%
    Draw 26.66%
Scunthorpe UnitedDrawCarlisle United
1-0 @ 8.57%
2-1 @ 5.61%
2-0 @ 3.87%
3-1 @ 1.69%
3-2 @ 1.22%
3-0 @ 1.16%
Other @ 1.28%
Total : 23.41%
1-1 @ 12.44%
0-0 @ 9.51%
2-2 @ 4.07%
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 26.66%
0-1 @ 13.79%
0-2 @ 10.01%
1-2 @ 9.03%
0-3 @ 4.84%
1-3 @ 4.37%
2-3 @ 1.97%
0-4 @ 1.76%
1-4 @ 1.59%
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 49.92%

How you voted: Scunthorpe vs Carlisle

Scunthorpe United
80.0%
Draw
20.0%
Carlisle United
0.0%
10
Head to Head
Sep 18, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 8
Carlisle
2-2
Scunthorpe
Gibson (81'), Dickenson (90+5')
Jarvis (3'), Onariase (44')
Perry (66'), Hippolyte (78'), Rowe (86')
Apr 6, 2021 6.30pm
Gameweek 40
Carlisle
2-0
Scunthorpe
Mellish (60', 62')

Loft (45+1')
Sep 26, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 3
Scunthorpe
1-0
Carlisle
Hallam (35')
Spence (74'), Beestin (84')
Apr 13, 2020 3pm
Aug 31, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 6
Scunthorpe
0-1
Carlisle

Clarke (27')
Loft (60')
Carroll (35'), Knight-Percival (65'), McKirdy (74'), Iredale (84'), Loft (89'), Elliott (93')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CStockport CountyStockport462711896484892
4MK Dons462391483681578
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster46218177368571
6Crewe AlexandraCrewe461914136965471
7Crawley TownCrawley46217187367670
8BarrowBarrow461815136256669
9Bradford CityBradford461912156159269
10AFC Wimbledon4617141564511365
11Walsall461811176973-465
12Gillingham461810184657-1164
13Harrogate TownHarrogate461712176069-963
14Notts County46187218986361
15Morecambe461710196781-1458
16Tranmere RoversTranmere46176236770-357
17Accrington StanleyAccrington46169216371-857
18Newport CountyNewport46167236276-1455
19Swindon TownSwindon461412207783-654
20Salford City461312216682-1651
21Grimsby Town461116195774-1749
22Colchester UnitedColchester461112235980-2145
RSutton UnitedSutton46915225984-2542
RForest Green RoversForest Green46119264478-3442


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