Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 61.8%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Elche had a probability of 16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.94%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.51%), while for a Elche win it was 0-1 (5.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Villarreal | Draw | Elche |
61.8% | 22.2% | 16% |
Both teams to score 46.79% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.53% | 50.48% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.6% | 72.4% |
Villarreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.17% | 15.83% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.99% | 45.01% |
Elche Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.59% | 44.41% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.54% | 80.46% |
Score Analysis |
Villarreal | Draw | Elche |
1-0 @ 12.95% 2-0 @ 11.94% 2-1 @ 9.69% 3-0 @ 7.34% 3-1 @ 5.96% 4-0 @ 3.38% 4-1 @ 2.74% 3-2 @ 2.42% 5-0 @ 1.25% 4-2 @ 1.11% 5-1 @ 1.01% Other @ 2% Total : 61.79% | 1-1 @ 10.51% 0-0 @ 7.03% 2-2 @ 3.94% Other @ 0.72% Total : 22.2% | 0-1 @ 5.71% 1-2 @ 4.27% 0-2 @ 2.32% 1-3 @ 1.16% 2-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 1.48% Total : 16% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 33 | 26 | 6 | 1 | 71 | 22 | 49 | 84 |
2 | Barcelona | 33 | 22 | 7 | 4 | 68 | 39 | 29 | 73 |
3 | GironaGirona | 33 | 22 | 5 | 6 | 69 | 40 | 29 | 71 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 33 | 20 | 4 | 9 | 62 | 39 | 23 | 64 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 53 | 33 | 20 | 58 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 33 | 13 | 12 | 8 | 46 | 35 | 11 | 51 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 33 | 12 | 13 | 8 | 41 | 39 | 2 | 49 |
8 | Valencia | 33 | 13 | 8 | 12 | 37 | 38 | -1 | 47 |
9 | Villarreal | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 54 | 55 | -1 | 45 |
10 | Getafe | 33 | 10 | 13 | 10 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 43 |
11 | Osasuna | 33 | 11 | 6 | 16 | 37 | 49 | -12 | 39 |
12 | AlavesAlaves | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 38 |
13 | Sevilla | 33 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 42 | 46 | -4 | 38 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 37 |
15 | Rayo Vallecano | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 27 | 42 | -15 | 34 |
16 | Mallorca | 33 | 6 | 14 | 13 | 27 | 39 | -12 | 32 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 37 | 50 | -13 | 31 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 33 | 4 | 14 | 15 | 23 | 46 | -23 | 26 |
19 | Granada | 33 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 36 | 61 | -25 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 33 | 1 | 11 | 21 | 32 | 67 | -35 | 14 |
> La Liga Full Table |