La Liga | Gameweek 32
Apr 20, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadi Municipal de Montilivi
We said: Girona 2-0 Cadiz
Girona's home form has been so strong this season, and we are finding it very difficult to back Cadiz to pick up a positive result considering their away struggles in 2023-24. Cadiz are capable of making it a tricky match for the hosts, but we are expecting Michel's side to triumph in routine fashion.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 65.06% . A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 14.57% .
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.72% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.58%) and 2-1 (9.81%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.69%) , while for a Cadiz win it was 0-1 (4.78%) . The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Girona would win this match.
Result Girona Draw Cadiz 65.06% ( -0.05) 20.37% ( 0.01) 14.57% ( 0.04)
Both teams to score 49.18% ( 0.06)
54.49% ( 0.03) 45.51% ( -0.04)
32.16% ( 0.03) 67.84% ( -0.03)
86.8% ( -0) 13.2% ( 0)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 60.07% ( -0.01) 39.93% ( 0)
56.66% ( 0.07) 43.34% ( -0.08)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 20.42% ( 0.06) 79.58% ( -0.06)
Girona 65.04%
Cadiz 14.57%
Draw 20.37%
Girona Draw Cadiz 2-0 @ 11.72% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 11.58% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.81% ( 0) 3-0 @ 7.92% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.62% ( 0) 4-0 @ 4.01% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.35% 3-2 @ 2.77% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.62% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.4% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.36% Other @ 2.89% Total : 65.04% 1-1 @ 9.69% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.72% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.1% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.86% Total : 20.37% 0-1 @ 4.78% ( 0) 1-2 @ 4.05% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.14% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.13% ( 0) Other @ 1.47% Total : 14.57%
How you voted: Girona vs Cadiz
63
rhs 2.0
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