Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Getafe win with a probability of 40.6%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 30.64% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Getafe win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.04%) and 2-0 (7.94%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 0-1 (10.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Getafe would win this match.
Result | ||
Getafe | Draw | Sevilla |
40.6% ( 0.46) | 28.75% ( -0.13) | 30.64% ( -0.33) |
Both teams to score 44.73% ( 0.23) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
38.39% ( 0.34) | 61.6% ( -0.34) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.55% ( 0.25) | 81.44% ( -0.25) |
Getafe Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.24% ( 0.43) | 29.76% ( -0.43) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.17% ( 0.52) | 65.83% ( -0.52) |
Sevilla Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.68% ( -0.07) | 36.32% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.89% ( -0.07) | 73.1% ( 0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Getafe | Draw | Sevilla |
1-0 @ 13.09% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.04% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 7.94% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 3.25% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 3.21% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 1.65% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 0.98% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 0.97% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.47% Total : 40.6% | 1-1 @ 13.26% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 10.8% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 4.07% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.6% Total : 28.73% | 0-1 @ 10.94% ( -0.16) 1-2 @ 6.72% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 5.54% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 2.27% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.92% Total : 30.64% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 37 | 29 | 7 | 1 | 87 | 26 | 61 | 94 |
2 | Barcelona | 37 | 25 | 7 | 5 | 77 | 43 | 34 | 82 |
3 | GironaGirona | 37 | 24 | 6 | 7 | 78 | 46 | 32 | 78 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 37 | 23 | 4 | 10 | 68 | 43 | 25 | 73 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 37 | 18 | 11 | 8 | 60 | 37 | 23 | 65 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 37 | 16 | 12 | 9 | 51 | 37 | 14 | 60 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 37 | 14 | 14 | 9 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 56 |
8 | Villarreal | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 64 | 64 | 0 | 52 |
9 | Valencia | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 48 |
10 | AlavesAlaves | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 35 | 45 | -10 | 45 |
11 | Osasuna | 37 | 12 | 8 | 17 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 44 |
12 | Getafe | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 43 |
13 | Sevilla | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 47 | 52 | -5 | 41 |
14 | Celta Vigo | 37 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 40 |
15 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 37 | 10 | 9 | 18 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 39 |
16 | Rayo Vallecano | 37 | 8 | 14 | 15 | 29 | 47 | -18 | 38 |
17 | Mallorca | 37 | 7 | 16 | 14 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 37 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 37 | 6 | 15 | 16 | 25 | 49 | -24 | 33 |
R | Granada | 37 | 4 | 9 | 24 | 38 | 72 | -34 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 37 | 2 | 12 | 23 | 37 | 74 | -37 | 18 |
> La Liga Full Table |