Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Espanyol win with a probability of 56.41%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 18.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Espanyol win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.86%) and 2-1 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.64%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (7.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Espanyol in this match.
Result | ||
Espanyol | Draw | Alaves |
56.41% | 25.29% | 18.3% |
Both teams to score 42.58% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.52% | 58.48% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.93% | 79.07% |
Espanyol Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.22% | 20.78% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.58% | 53.42% |
Alaves Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.75% | 46.25% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.09% | 81.92% |
Score Analysis |
Espanyol | Draw | Alaves |
1-0 @ 15.09% 2-0 @ 11.86% 2-1 @ 9.15% 3-0 @ 6.21% 3-1 @ 4.79% 4-0 @ 2.44% 4-1 @ 1.88% 3-2 @ 1.85% Other @ 3.12% Total : 56.4% | 1-1 @ 11.64% 0-0 @ 9.61% 2-2 @ 3.53% Other @ 0.51% Total : 25.29% | 0-1 @ 7.41% 1-2 @ 4.49% 0-2 @ 2.86% 1-3 @ 1.15% 2-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.48% Total : 18.3% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 33 | 26 | 6 | 1 | 71 | 22 | 49 | 84 |
2 | Barcelona | 33 | 22 | 7 | 4 | 68 | 39 | 29 | 73 |
3 | GironaGirona | 33 | 22 | 5 | 6 | 69 | 40 | 29 | 71 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 33 | 20 | 4 | 9 | 62 | 39 | 23 | 64 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 53 | 33 | 20 | 58 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 33 | 13 | 12 | 8 | 46 | 35 | 11 | 51 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 33 | 12 | 13 | 8 | 41 | 39 | 2 | 49 |
8 | Valencia | 33 | 13 | 8 | 12 | 37 | 38 | -1 | 47 |
9 | Villarreal | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 54 | 55 | -1 | 45 |
10 | Getafe | 33 | 10 | 13 | 10 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 43 |
11 | Osasuna | 33 | 11 | 6 | 16 | 37 | 49 | -12 | 39 |
12 | AlavesAlaves | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 38 |
13 | Sevilla | 33 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 42 | 46 | -4 | 38 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 37 |
15 | Rayo Vallecano | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 27 | 42 | -15 | 34 |
16 | Mallorca | 33 | 6 | 14 | 13 | 27 | 39 | -12 | 32 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 37 | 50 | -13 | 31 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 33 | 4 | 14 | 15 | 23 | 46 | -23 | 26 |
19 | Granada | 33 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 36 | 61 | -25 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 33 | 1 | 11 | 21 | 32 | 67 | -35 | 14 |
> La Liga Full Table |