MX23RW : Monday, May 20 00:51:41| >> :60:2106:2106:
Mexico national football team
International Friendly
Nov 9, 2022 at 8pm UK
Soldier Field
Iraq national football team

Mexico
4 - 0
Iraq

Vega (4'), Funes Mori (48'), Gallardo (67'), Uriel (90+2' pen.)
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's International Friendlies clash between Mexico and Iraq, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Mexico 2-3 Colombia
Wednesday, September 28 at 3am in International Friendlies
Next Game: Mexico vs. Sweden
Wednesday, November 16 at 7.30pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Syria 0-1 Iraq
Monday, September 26 at 4pm in International Friendlies
Next Game: Iraq vs. Ecuador
Saturday, November 12 at 12am in International Friendlies

We said: Mexico 1-0 Iraq

Neither team have been convincing since the end of qualifying, but El Tri have faced much more formidable opponents, while Iraq are in a transitional phase looking to develop its next generation, so we will give the experienced Mexicans the edge. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 57.53%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Iraq had a probability of 15.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.19%) and 2-1 (8.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.21%), while for a Iraq win it was 0-1 (7.73%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Mexico would win this match.

Result
MexicoDrawIraq
57.53% (0.071000000000005 0.07) 26.5% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02) 15.97% (-0.046000000000001 -0.05)
Both teams to score 36.09% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.09% (0.012 0.01)64.9% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.18% (0.010999999999999 0.01)83.82% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Mexico Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77% (0.036000000000001 0.04)22.99% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.2% (0.052 0.05)56.8% (-0.052 -0.05)
Iraq Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
46.86% (-0.056999999999995 -0.06)53.13% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.26% (-0.035 -0.04)86.73% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Mexico 57.52%
    Iraq 15.97%
    Draw 26.49%
MexicoDrawIraq
1-0 @ 17.96% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 13.19% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.35% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 6.47% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.09% (0.0040000000000004 0)
4-0 @ 2.38% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.5% (0.0029999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 1.29% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 57.52%
0-0 @ 12.21% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-1 @ 11.35% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 2.64% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 26.49%
0-1 @ 7.73% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-2 @ 3.59% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.44% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 15.97%

How you voted: Mexico vs Iraq

Mexico
81.9%
Draw
8.5%
Iraq
9.6%
94
rhs 2.0
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3Liverpool382410486414582
4Aston Villa382081076611568
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs382061274611366
6Chelsea381891177631463
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle381861485622360
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd38186145758-160
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham381410146074-1452
10Crystal Palace381310155758-149
11Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton381212145562-748
12Bournemouth38139165467-1348
13Fulham38138175561-647
14Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38137185065-1546
15Everton38139164051-1140
16Brentford38109195665-939
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3899204967-1832
RLuton TownLuton3868245285-3326
RBurnley3859244178-3724
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd38372835104-6916


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