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Port Vale
FA Cup | First Round
Nov 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
Vale Park
Burton Albion

Port Vale
0 - 0
Burton Albion


Smith (18')
FT

Sweeney (2'), Oshilaja (43'), Powell (45'), Walker (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Port Vale and Burton Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Mansfield 0-1 Port Vale
Tuesday, October 31 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Burton Albion 0-0 Leyton Orient
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in League One

We said: Port Vale 1-2 Burton Albion

Port Vale will be in high spirits after booking their place in the EFL Cup quarter-finals, but we think that they may struggle to claim another cup win at the weekend. Burton have had a week to prepare for Saturday's contest, and their fresh legs could help them claim a fourth straight victory in away meetings with Port Vale. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 51.54%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 23.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.68%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.93%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 0-1 (7.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.

Result
Port ValeDrawBurton Albion
51.54%25.14%23.32%
Both teams to score 49.67%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.31%52.69%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.67%74.33%
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.55%20.44%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.1%52.9%
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.43%37.57%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.65%74.35%
Score Analysis
    Port Vale 51.54%
    Burton Albion 23.32%
    Draw 25.13%
Port ValeDrawBurton Albion
1-0 @ 12.19%
2-0 @ 9.68%
2-1 @ 9.47%
3-0 @ 5.12%
3-1 @ 5.01%
3-2 @ 2.45%
4-0 @ 2.03%
4-1 @ 1.99%
4-2 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 51.54%
1-1 @ 11.93%
0-0 @ 7.68%
2-2 @ 4.64%
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 25.13%
0-1 @ 7.52%
1-2 @ 5.84%
0-2 @ 3.68%
1-3 @ 1.91%
2-3 @ 1.51%
0-3 @ 1.2%
Other @ 1.65%
Total : 23.32%

Head to Head
Sep 19, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Port Vale
2-3
Burton Albion
Garrity (40'), Arblaster (86')
Clark (64'), Ripley (70')
Lubala (11'), Seddon (51'), Baah (61')
Hughes (17'), Helm (75'), Powell (90')
Mar 18, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 37
Port Vale
2-3
Burton Albion
Harrison (2'), Proctor (80')
Taylor (8', 67'), Smith (48' pen.)
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
Dec 4, 2021 3pm
Second Round
Burton Albion
1-2
Port Vale
Leak (23')
Shaughnessy (88')
Politic (79', 82')
Aug 13, 2019 7.45pm
First Round
Port Vale
1-2
Burton Albion
Cullen (53')
Gibbons (43'), Bennett (83'), Amoo (92')
Boyce (9'), Fraser (62')
Akins (79'), Daniel (91')
rhs 2.0
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