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Norwich logo
FA Cup | Third Round
Jan 6, 2024 at 3pm UK
Carrow Road
Bristol Rovers

Norwich
1 - 1
Bristol Rovers

Barnes (12')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Ward (17')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Norwich City and Bristol Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Norwich 1-1 Southampton
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Norwich City 3-1 Bristol Rovers

As efficient as Bristol Rovers have been in the attacking third during the winter period, their defensive deficiencies continue to bedevil them and ought to be exposed by a Norwich crop aiming to right a few wrongs this weekend. Wagner should not be averse to making a few alterations to his pack, who will likely be faced with a three-man Pirates wall, but we still expect the Canaries to prevail with ease. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 51.61%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 25.43% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.73%) and 2-0 (7.96%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 1-2 (6.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.

Result
Norwich CityDrawBristol Rovers
51.61%22.95%25.43% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Both teams to score 59%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.56% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)41.45%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.16% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)63.84%
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.85% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)16.15%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.41% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)45.59%
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.36% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)29.64%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.31% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)65.69%
Score Analysis
    Norwich City 51.61%
    Bristol Rovers 25.44%
    Draw 22.95%
Norwich CityDrawBristol Rovers
2-1 @ 9.68%
1-0 @ 8.73%
2-0 @ 7.96%
3-1 @ 5.88%
3-0 @ 4.84%
3-2 @ 3.58%
4-1 @ 2.68%
4-0 @ 2.2%
4-2 @ 1.63%
5-1 @ 0.98%
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 51.61%
1-1 @ 10.61%
2-2 @ 5.88%
0-0 @ 4.79%
3-3 @ 1.45%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 22.95%
1-2 @ 6.45%
0-1 @ 5.82%
0-2 @ 3.54%
1-3 @ 2.62%
2-3 @ 2.38% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.43%
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 25.44%

How you voted: Norwich vs Bristol Rovers

Norwich City
70.0%
Draw
10.0%
Bristol Rovers
20.0%
40
Head to Head
May 1, 2010 3pm
Oct 3, 2009 3pm
Norwich
5-1
Bristol Rovers
Hoolahan (31' pen.), Martin (9'), Holt (33', 40'), Cureton (90')
Berthel Askou (26'), Lappin (38'), Drury (59')
Hughes (26' pen.)
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal36265588286083
2Manchester CityMan City35257387335482
3Liverpool36239481384378
4Aston Villa36207973532067
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs351861169581160
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle351751378562256
7Chelsea351591170591154
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd35166135255-354
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham361310135670-1449
10Bournemouth36139145263-1148
11Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton351211125357-447
12Wolverhampton WanderersWolves36137164960-1146
13Fulham36128165155-444
14Crystal Palace361110154957-843
15Everton36129153849-1137
16Brentford3699185260-836
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3689194563-1829
18Luton TownLuton3668224978-2926
19Burnley3659223974-3524
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd36372635100-6516


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