FA Cup | Fourth Round
Jan 27, 2024 at 7pm UK
Craven Cottage
Fulham0 - 2Newcastle
The Match
Match Report
Newcastle United get away with a rather unconvincing performance as they overcome Fulham 2-0 at Craven Cottage to reach the fifth round of the FA Cup.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Fulham and Newcastle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Fulham 1-1 Liverpool
Wednesday, January 24 at 8pm in EFL Cup
Wednesday, January 24 at 8pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Newcastle 2-3 Man City
Saturday, January 13 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Saturday, January 13 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham win with a probability of 46.46%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 30.16% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fulham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.8%) and 2-0 (6.8%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 1-2 (7.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Newcastle United in this match.
Result | ||
Fulham | Draw | Newcastle United |
46.46% ( 0.22) | 23.38% ( -0.06) | 30.16% ( -0.16) |
Both teams to score 61.39% ( 0.12) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.01% ( 0.2) | 39.98% ( -0.2) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.65% ( 0.2) | 62.35% ( -0.21) |
Fulham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.49% ( 0.16) | 17.51% ( -0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.98% ( 0.28) | 48.02% ( -0.29) |
Newcastle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.43% ( -0) | 25.57% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.56% ( -0.01) | 60.44% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Fulham 46.46%
Newcastle United 30.16%
Draw 23.37%
Fulham | Draw | Newcastle United |
2-1 @ 9.27% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.8% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 6.8% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.38% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 3.95% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.67% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.35% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.72% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.6% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.93% Total : 46.46% | 1-1 @ 10.63% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 6.32% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.48% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.67% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.37% | 1-2 @ 7.26% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 6.11% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 4.16% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 3.3% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.87% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.12% ( -0) 2-4 @ 0.98% ( 0) Other @ 2.47% Total : 30.16% |
How you voted: Fulham vs Newcastle
Fulham
31.0%Draw
16.7%Newcastle United
52.2%203
Head to Head
Jan 15, 2023 2pm
Oct 1, 2022 3pm
May 23, 2021 4pm
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-05-08 20:06:40
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 36 | 26 | 5 | 5 | 88 | 28 | 60 | 83 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 35 | 25 | 7 | 3 | 87 | 33 | 54 | 82 |
3 | Liverpool | 36 | 23 | 9 | 4 | 81 | 38 | 43 | 78 |
4 | Aston Villa | 36 | 20 | 7 | 9 | 73 | 53 | 20 | 67 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 35 | 18 | 6 | 11 | 69 | 58 | 11 | 60 |
6 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 35 | 17 | 5 | 13 | 78 | 56 | 22 | 56 |
7 | Chelsea | 35 | 15 | 9 | 11 | 70 | 59 | 11 | 54 |
8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 35 | 16 | 6 | 13 | 52 | 55 | -3 | 54 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 36 | 13 | 10 | 13 | 56 | 70 | -14 | 49 |
10 | Bournemouth | 36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 52 | 63 | -11 | 48 |
11 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 35 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 53 | 57 | -4 | 47 |
12 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 36 | 13 | 7 | 16 | 49 | 60 | -11 | 46 |
13 | Fulham | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 51 | 55 | -4 | 44 |
14 | Crystal Palace | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 49 | 57 | -8 | 43 |
15 | Everton | 36 | 12 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 49 | -11 | 37 |
16 | Brentford | 36 | 9 | 9 | 18 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 36 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 36 | 8 | 9 | 19 | 45 | 63 | -18 | 29 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 36 | 6 | 8 | 22 | 49 | 78 | -29 | 26 |
19 | Burnley | 36 | 5 | 9 | 22 | 39 | 74 | -35 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 36 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 35 | 100 | -65 | 16 |
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