Despite suffering a defeat in midweek, Blackpool will be favourites to progress from this cup tie, and after winning five of their last seven competitive home games, we think that they will claim a relatively comfortable victory over Forest Green Rovers.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackpool win with a probability of 51.97%. A win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 24.99% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Blackpool win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9%) and 2-0 (8.16%). The likeliest Forest Green Rovers win was 1-2 (6.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.71%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Blackpool would win this match.
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