This is a free hit for Horsham, and they are certainly talented enough to make this an uncomfortable match for Barnsley. The hosts are one of the strongest sides in League One, though, and we are expecting them to advance to the next round of the competition without any major problems.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 70.74%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for Horsham had a probability of 12.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.47%) and 3-0 (8.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.65%), while for a Horsham win it was 1-2 (3.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.
