Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Mar 24, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
France4 - 0Netherlands
The Match
Match Report
Captain Kylian Mbappe scores twice as France cruise to a 4-0 victory over the Netherlands in their opening Euro 2024 qualifier.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Friday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between France and Netherlands, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how the Netherlands could line up for Friday's Euro 2024 qualifier with France.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Argentina 3-3 France (4-2 pen.)
Sunday, December 18 at 3pm in World Cup
Sunday, December 18 at 3pm in World Cup
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | France | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 2 | Australia | 3 | -1 | 6 |
| 3 | Tunisia | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Denmark | 3 | -2 | 1 |
Last Game: Netherlands 2-2 Argentina (3-4 pen.)
Friday, December 9 at 7pm in World Cup
Friday, December 9 at 7pm in World Cup
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Netherlands | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Senegal | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Ecuador | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Qatar | 3 | -6 | 0 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a France win with a probability of 44.45%. A win for Netherlands had a probability of 29.1% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a France win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (8.14%). The likeliest Netherlands win was 0-1 (8.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that France would win this match.
| Result | ||
| France | Draw | Netherlands |
44.45% ( -0.93) | 26.46% ( 0.05) | 29.1% ( 0.89) |
| Both teams to score 50.54% ( 0.39) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
