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Bosnia and Herzegovina national football team
Euro Champ Qualifying | Playoff Semi-Finals Route B
Oct 8, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
Stadion Bilino Polje
Northern Ireland national football team

Bosnia H'vina
1 - 1
N. Ireland

Krunic (13')
Hadziahmetovic (19'), Kolasinac (47'), Pjanic (100')
FT
(aet)
McGinn (53')
Davis (108')
N. Ireland win 4-3 on penalties

The Match

Match Report

Ian Baraclough's side had been held to a 1-1 draw but won the shoot-out and now face Slovakia.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Euro 2020 qualifying playoff between Bosnia-Herzegovina and Northern Ireland, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bosnia-Herzegovina win with a probability of 40.94%. A win for Northern Ireland had a probability of 34.57% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bosnia-Herzegovina win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.12%) and 2-0 (6.27%). The likeliest Northern Ireland win was 1-2 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%).

Result
Bosnia-HerzegovinaDrawNorthern Ireland
40.94%24.49%34.57%
Both teams to score 59.28%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.45%43.55%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.06%65.94%
Bosnia-Herzegovina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.66%21.34%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.7%54.29%
Northern Ireland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.36%24.64%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.84%59.15%
Score Analysis
    Bosnia-Herzegovina 40.94%
    Northern Ireland 34.57%
    Draw 24.48%
Bosnia-HerzegovinaDrawNorthern Ireland
2-1 @ 8.79%
1-0 @ 8.12%
2-0 @ 6.27%
3-1 @ 4.52%
3-0 @ 3.23%
3-2 @ 3.17%
4-1 @ 1.75%
4-0 @ 1.25%
4-2 @ 1.22%
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 40.94%
1-1 @ 11.37%
2-2 @ 6.16%
0-0 @ 5.26%
3-3 @ 1.48%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.48%
1-2 @ 7.97%
0-1 @ 7.36%
0-2 @ 5.16%
1-3 @ 3.72%
2-3 @ 2.87%
0-3 @ 2.41%
1-4 @ 1.3%
2-4 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 34.57%

Head to Head
Oct 15, 2018 7.45pm
League Phase
Bosnia H'vina
2-0
N. Ireland
Dzeko (27', 73')
Duljevic (70'), Besic (84')

Norwood (33'), Saville (58')
Sep 8, 2018 2pm
League Phase
N. Ireland
1-2
Bosnia H'vina
Grigg (93')
Duljevic (36'), Saric (64')
Civic (10'), Pjanic (30'), Dzeko (51'), Sehic (83')
rhs 2.0
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