MX23RW : Wednesday, May 8 06:37:58| >> :120:47474:47474:
West Ham logo
Europa League | Group Stage
Sep 21, 2023 at 8pm UK
London Stadium

West Ham
3 - 1
Backa Topola

Kudus (66', 70'), Soucek (82')
Kehrer (41')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Stanic (47')
Kuveljic (32')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between West Ham United and Backa Topola, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: West Ham 1-3 Man City
Saturday, September 16 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Backa Topola 1-4 Braga
Tuesday, August 15 at 7pm in Champions League

We said: West Ham United 4-0 Backa Topola

While West Ham will not be underestimating their opponents, this is as ideal start as they could have hoped for. Even if Moyes opts to make a number of alterations, the Hammers should have more than enough quality to breeze to victory on Thursday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Ham United win with a probability of 49.09%. A win for Backa Topola had a probability of 26.61% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Ham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.53%) and 2-0 (8.23%). The likeliest Backa Topola win was 0-1 (6.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that West Ham United would win this match.

Result
West Ham UnitedDrawBacka Topola
49.09% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03) 24.3% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01) 26.61% (0.038999999999998 0.04)
Both teams to score 55.56% (0.053000000000004 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.5% (0.057000000000002 0.06)46.5% (-0.059000000000005 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.22% (0.053999999999998 0.05)68.78% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)
West Ham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.99% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)19.01% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.43% (0.014000000000003 0.01)50.57% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Backa Topola Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.6% (0.058999999999997 0.06)31.4% (-0.061 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.22% (0.07 0.07)67.78% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    West Ham United 49.09%
    Backa Topola 26.61%
    Draw 24.29%
West Ham UnitedDrawBacka Topola
1-0 @ 9.91% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.53% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 8.23% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-1 @ 5.27% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 4.55% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.05% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 2.19% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.89% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.27% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 49.09%
1-1 @ 11.47% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.97% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.52% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.18% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.29%
0-1 @ 6.91% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-2 @ 6.65% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 4% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-3 @ 2.57% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.13% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.55% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 26.61%

How you voted: West Ham vs Backa Topola

West Ham United
85.9%
Draw
10.6%
Backa Topola
3.5%
85
rhs 2.0
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2Manchester CityMan City35257387335482
3Liverpool36239481384378
4Aston Villa36207973532067
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs351861169581160
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle351751378562256
7Chelsea351591170591154
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd35166135255-354
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham361310135670-1449
10Bournemouth36139145263-1148
11Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton351211125357-447
12Wolverhampton WanderersWolves36137164960-1146
13Fulham36128165155-444
14Crystal Palace361110154957-843
15Everton36129153849-1137
16Brentford3699185260-836
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3689194563-1829
18Luton TownLuton3668224978-2926
19Burnley3659223974-3524
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd36372635100-6516


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