Europa League | Group Stage
Oct 20, 2021 at 3.30pm UK
Otkrytiye Arena
Spartak Moscow3 - 4Leicester
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 45.28%. A win for Spartak Moscow had a probability of 30.78% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.29%) and 0-2 (6.91%). The likeliest Spartak Moscow win was 2-1 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Spartak Moscow | Draw | Leicester City |
| 30.78% | 23.94% | 45.28% |
| Both teams to score 59.74% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
