Europa League | Group Stage
Dec 14, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
Tofiq Bahramov adina Respublika stadionu (Baki (Baku))
Form, Standings, Stats
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
We said: Qarabag FK 3-0 Hacken
Qarabag still have a need for a positive result on Thursday if they are to keep hold of second spot in their group, while Hacken have struggled to remain competitive in this year's Europa League, and we can only see them bowing out without a point following a defeat in Azerbaijan, with the hosts likely to outclass the Swedish outfit all over the pitch.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qarabag FK win with a probability of 42.89%. A win for Hacken had a probability of 35.6% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Qarabag FK win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.3%) and 1-0 (4.78%). The likeliest Hacken win was 1-2 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Qarabag FK in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Qarabag FK.
| Result |
| Qarabag FK | Draw | Hacken |
42.89% ( -0.31) | 21.51% ( -0.04) | 35.6% ( 0.35) |
| Both teams to score 70.96% ( 0.26) |
| 71.54% ( 0.3) | 28.46% ( -0.3) |
| 50.69% ( 0.37) | 49.31% ( -0.37) |
| 85.68% ( 0.01) | 14.32% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 57.85% ( 0.02) | 42.14% ( -0.02) |
| 82.81% ( 0.3) | 17.18% ( -0.3) |
