Having already lost a couple of league games in uncharacteristic fashion, Ludogorets look set to suffer another defeat when Ajax visit Huvepharma Arena, although Thursday's clash will likely be a tight affair as both sides aim to remain in the tie.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ludogorets Razgrad win with a probability of 49.72%. A win for Ajax had a probability of 29.24% and a draw had a probability of 21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ludogorets Razgrad win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.14%) and 2-0 (5.57%). The likeliest Ajax win was 1-2 (6.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
