Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 50.42%. A win for Groningen had a probability of 26.09% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.14%) and 2-0 (8.03%). The likeliest Groningen win was 1-2 (6.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitesse would win this match.
