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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 58.57%. A win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 21.34% and a draw had a probability of 20.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.5%) and 3-1 (7.02%). The likeliest PEC Zwolle win was 1-2 (5.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
NEC | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
58.57% ( 1.41) | 20.09% ( -0.01) | 21.34% ( -1.4) |
Both teams to score 64.07% ( -2.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
67.52% ( -1.8) | 32.48% ( 1.8) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
45.88% ( -2.12) | 54.12% ( 2.12) |
NEC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.99% ( -0.19) | 11.01% ( 0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
64.69% ( -0.43) | 35.31% ( 0.43) |
PEC Zwolle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72% ( -2.18) | 28% ( 2.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.36% ( -2.86) | 63.64% ( 2.86) |
Score Analysis |
NEC | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
2-1 @ 9.55% ( 0.2) 2-0 @ 7.5% ( 0.6) 3-1 @ 7.02% ( 0.09) 1-0 @ 6.8% ( 0.59) 3-0 @ 5.52% ( 0.4) 3-2 @ 4.47% ( -0.22) 4-1 @ 3.87% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 3.04% ( 0.2) 4-2 @ 2.47% ( -0.14) 5-1 @ 1.71% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.34% ( 0.08) 5-2 @ 1.09% ( -0.07) 4-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.13) Other @ 3.13% Total : 58.57% | 1-1 @ 8.66% ( 0.25) 2-2 @ 6.08% ( -0.25) 0-0 @ 3.08% ( 0.29) 3-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.22) Other @ 0.37% Total : 20.09% | 1-2 @ 5.51% ( -0.18) 0-1 @ 3.93% ( 0.14) 2-3 @ 2.58% ( -0.28) 0-2 @ 2.5% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 2.34% ( -0.23) 0-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.1) Other @ 3.42% Total : 21.34% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 32 | 28 | 3 | 1 | 107 | 19 | 88 | 87 |
2 | Feyenoord | 32 | 24 | 6 | 2 | 85 | 24 | 61 | 78 |
3 | FC Twente | 32 | 19 | 6 | 7 | 60 | 33 | 27 | 63 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 64 | 36 | 28 | 61 |
5 | Ajax | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 69 | 59 | 10 | 52 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 62 | 47 | 15 | 50 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 46 | 43 | 3 | 49 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 45 | 42 | 3 | 43 |
9 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 48 | 47 | 1 | 43 |
10 | Heerenveen | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 51 | 65 | -14 | 37 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 36 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 43 | 64 | -21 | 35 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 32 | 7 | 13 | 12 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 32 | 9 | 5 | 18 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 32 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 36 | 52 | -16 | 28 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 32 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 46 | 69 | -23 | 26 |
R | FC VolendamVolendam | 32 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 31 | 79 | -48 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 32 | 5 | 5 | 22 | 25 | 71 | -46 | 2 |
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