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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 70.52%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Heerenveen had a probability of 12.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.59%) and 0-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.15%), while for a Heerenveen win it was 2-1 (3.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Ajax in this match.
Result | ||
Heerenveen | Draw | Ajax |
12.1% | 17.38% | 70.52% |
Both teams to score 52.42% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.39% | 37.61% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.15% | 59.85% |
Heerenveen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.93% | 42.07% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.5% | 78.5% |
Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.49% | 9.51% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
68.1% | 31.9% |
Score Analysis |
Heerenveen | Draw | Ajax |
2-1 @ 3.53% 1-0 @ 3.47% 2-0 @ 1.5% 3-2 @ 1.2% 3-1 @ 1.02% Other @ 1.39% Total : 12.1% | 1-1 @ 8.15% 2-2 @ 4.15% 0-0 @ 4% 3-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 0.13% Total : 17.38% | 0-2 @ 11.07% 1-2 @ 9.59% 0-1 @ 9.42% 0-3 @ 8.69% 1-3 @ 7.52% 0-4 @ 5.11% 1-4 @ 4.42% 2-3 @ 3.26% 0-5 @ 2.4% 1-5 @ 2.08% 2-4 @ 1.92% 0-6 @ 0.94% 2-5 @ 0.9% Other @ 3.2% Total : 70.51% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 33 | 28 | 4 | 1 | 108 | 20 | 88 | 88 |
2 | Feyenoord | 33 | 25 | 6 | 2 | 88 | 26 | 62 | 81 |
3 | FC Twente | 33 | 20 | 6 | 7 | 67 | 35 | 32 | 66 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 67 | 36 | 31 | 64 |
5 | Ajax | 33 | 15 | 10 | 8 | 72 | 59 | 13 | 55 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 33 | 13 | 11 | 9 | 64 | 50 | 14 | 50 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 46 | 44 | 2 | 49 |
8 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 47 | 2 | 46 |
9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 43 |
10 | Heerenveen | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 52 | 68 | -16 | 37 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 37 | 56 | -19 | 37 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 44 | 65 | -21 | 36 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 32 | 55 | -23 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 33 | 9 | 5 | 19 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 32 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 29 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 33 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 50 | 69 | -19 | 29 |
R | FC VolendamVolendam | 33 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 33 | 86 | -53 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 33 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 28 | 72 | -44 | 5 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |