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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 48.98%. A win for FC Volendam had a probability of 27.57% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.6%) and 0-2 (7.54%). The likeliest FC Volendam win was 2-1 (6.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
FC Volendam | Draw | FC Utrecht |
27.57% ( -0.07) | 23.45% ( -0.05) | 48.98% ( 0.11) |
Both teams to score 59.27% ( 0.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.03% ( 0.16) | 41.97% ( -0.16) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.62% ( 0.16) | 64.37% ( -0.16) |
FC Volendam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.67% ( 0.04) | 28.32% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.94% ( 0.05) | 64.05% ( -0.05) |
FC Utrecht Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.69% ( 0.1) | 17.31% ( -0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.34% ( 0.18) | 47.66% ( -0.18) |
Score Analysis |
FC Volendam | Draw | FC Utrecht |
2-1 @ 6.84% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.18% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 3.9% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 2.88% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.52% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.64% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.7% Total : 27.57% | 1-1 @ 10.84% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.9% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.48% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.44% | 1-2 @ 9.51% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 8.6% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 7.54% ( -0) 1-3 @ 5.56% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 4.41% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.51% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 2.44% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.93% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.54% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.94% Total : 48.98% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 34 | 29 | 4 | 1 | 111 | 21 | 90 | 91 |
2 | Feyenoord | 34 | 26 | 6 | 2 | 92 | 26 | 66 | 84 |
3 | FC Twente | 34 | 21 | 6 | 7 | 69 | 36 | 33 | 69 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 70 | 39 | 31 | 65 |
5 | Ajax | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 74 | 61 | 13 | 56 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 68 | 51 | 17 | 53 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 49 | 47 | 2 | 50 |
8 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 51 | 48 | 3 | 49 |
9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 47 | 46 | 1 | 46 |
10 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 37 | 56 | -19 | 38 |
11 | Heerenveen | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 53 | 70 | -17 | 37 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 45 | 67 | -22 | 36 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 33 | 59 | -26 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 33 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 38 | 56 | -18 | 29 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 50 | 73 | -23 | 29 |
R | FC VolendamVolendam | 34 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 34 | 88 | -54 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 34 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 30 | 74 | -44 | 6 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |