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Sutton United
EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Oct 10, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Walton Road Stadium
Crawley Town

Sutton
0 - 0
Crawley


Angol (71')
FT
(aet)

Khaleel (12'), Roles (76')
Sutton win 5-4 on penalties
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Sutton United and Crawley Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sutton United

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last Game: Sutton 4-0 Walsall
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in League Two

Crawley Town

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last Game: Crawley 0-1 Wrexham
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 41.81%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 32.43% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (7.12%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 0-1 (8.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result
Sutton UnitedDrawCrawley Town
41.81% (1.552 1.55) 25.76% (-0.777 -0.78) 32.43% (-0.77500000000001 -0.78)
Both teams to score 54.27% (2.281 2.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.22% (3.041 3.04)49.78% (-3.041 -3.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.21% (2.657 2.66)71.78% (-2.657 -2.66)
Sutton United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.38% (2.165 2.17)23.62% (-2.165 -2.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.3% (3.027 3.03)57.7% (-3.028 -3.03)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.05% (1.002 1)28.95% (-1 -1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.17% (1.227 1.23)64.83% (-1.226 -1.23)
Score Analysis
    Sutton United 41.81%
    Crawley Town 32.43%
    Draw 25.76%
Sutton UnitedDrawCrawley Town
1-0 @ 9.87% (-0.594 -0.59)
2-1 @ 8.83% (0.273 0.27)
2-0 @ 7.12% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.25% (0.381 0.38)
3-0 @ 3.43% (0.22 0.22)
3-2 @ 2.63% (0.302 0.3)
4-1 @ 1.53% (0.222 0.22)
4-0 @ 1.24% (0.15 0.15)
4-2 @ 0.95% (0.161 0.16)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 41.81%
1-1 @ 12.23% (-0.38 -0.38)
0-0 @ 6.84% (-0.885 -0.89)
2-2 @ 5.47% (0.315 0.32)
3-3 @ 1.09% (0.152 0.15)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.76%
0-1 @ 8.48% (-0.834 -0.83)
1-2 @ 7.58% (-0.025 -0.03)
0-2 @ 5.25% (-0.359 -0.36)
1-3 @ 3.13% (0.076 0.08)
2-3 @ 2.26% (0.189 0.19)
0-3 @ 2.17% (-0.084 -0.08)
1-4 @ 0.97% (0.05 0.05)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 32.43%

How you voted: Sutton vs Crawley

Sutton United
63.6%
Draw
9.1%
Crawley Town
27.3%
11
Head to Head
Sep 30, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 10
Crawley
3-0
Sutton
Campbell (6'), Maguire (53'), Orsi (66')
Kelly (86')

O'Brien (65'), Eastmond (77'), Goodliffe (90+2')
Mar 7, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 28
Sutton
3-0
Crawley
Bugiel (40', 47'), Angol (88')
> Preview
Dec 26, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 23
Crawley
1-2
Sutton
Oteh (90+5')
Kizzi (61'), Milsom (70' pen.)
> Preview
Apr 26, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 40
Sutton
3-0
Crawley
Smith (4', 86'), Bennett (7')
Barden (35')

Davies (34'), Oteh (52'), Nadesan (90+2')
> Preview
Oct 16, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 12
Crawley
0-1
Sutton

Dallison (19'), Francillette (83')
Olaofe (84')
John (75'), Milsom (75'), Bouzanis (76'), Boldewijn (90+1')
rhs 2.0
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