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Plymouth Argyle
EFL Trophy | Semi-Finals
Feb 21, 2023 at 8pm UK
Home Park
Cheltenham Town

Plymouth
1 - 1
Cheltenham

Hardie (63')
Galloway (24'), Bolton (90+2')
FT
(aet)
May (49')
May (53'), Keena (64'), Jackson (75'), Long (80')
Plymouth win 3-2 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Trophy clash between Plymouth Argyle and Cheltenham Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Plymouth Argyle

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last Game: Plymouth 0-0 Fleetwood
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in League One

Cheltenham Town

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last Game: Cheltenham 0-4 Barnsley
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in League One

We say: Plymouth Argyle 2-0 Cheltenham Town

 Comparing both past results and the contrasting form between the sides, Plymouth are firm favourites to come away with the desired results. The Pilgrims have been near impenetrable on home turf this season and we are backing them to come out victorious on Tuesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 60.77%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 18.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.06%) and 2-1 (9.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.97%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 0-1 (4.99%).

Result
Plymouth ArgyleDrawCheltenham Town
60.77% (1.995 2) 21.17% (-0.51 -0.51) 18.06% (-1.485 -1.49)
Both teams to score 54.29% (-1.002 -1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.38% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)42.62% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.97% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)65.02% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.43% (0.608 0.61)13.57% (-0.607 -0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.33% (1.197 1.2)40.67% (-1.196 -1.2)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.81% (-1.612 -1.61)37.19% (1.613 1.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.03% (-1.633 -1.63)73.97% (1.634 1.63)
Score Analysis
    Plymouth Argyle 60.76%
    Cheltenham Town 18.06%
    Draw 21.17%
Plymouth ArgyleDrawCheltenham Town
1-0 @ 10.07% (0.219 0.22)
2-0 @ 10.06% (0.437 0.44)
2-1 @ 9.96% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.7% (0.434 0.43)
3-1 @ 6.63% (0.152 0.15)
4-0 @ 3.35% (0.285 0.29)
4-1 @ 3.31% (0.146 0.15)
3-2 @ 3.28% (-0.068 -0.07)
4-2 @ 1.64% (0.002 0)
5-0 @ 1.34% (0.141 0.14)
5-1 @ 1.32% (0.086 0.09)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 60.76%
1-1 @ 9.97% (-0.21 -0.21)
0-0 @ 5.05% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 4.93% (-0.215 -0.22)
3-3 @ 1.08% (-0.072 -0.07)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 21.17%
0-1 @ 4.99% (-0.22 -0.22)
1-2 @ 4.93% (-0.331 -0.33)
0-2 @ 2.47% (-0.225 -0.23)
1-3 @ 1.63% (-0.187 -0.19)
2-3 @ 1.62% (-0.147 -0.15)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 18.06%

How you voted: Plymouth vs Cheltenham

Plymouth Argyle
81.8%
Draw
3.0%
Cheltenham Town
15.2%
33
Head to Head
Jan 21, 2023 3pm
Plymouth
4-2
Cheltenham
Scarr (26'), Hardie (28'), Wright (64'), Cosgrove (83')
Perry (40'), May (70')
Bonds (79')
Dec 26, 2022 3pm
Cheltenham
0-1
Plymouth

Long (38')
Whittaker (78')
Mar 22, 2022 7.45pm
Plymouth
2-0
Cheltenham
Ennis (14'), Mayor (42')

Colkett (90')
Dec 26, 2021 3pm
Cheltenham
0-2
Plymouth

Crowley (82')
Camara (42'), Garrick (75')
Oct 6, 2020 7.45pm
Cheltenham
2-0
Plymouth
Reid (56', 77')
May (81')

Cooper (87')
rhs 2.0
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